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September 3, 2004
On August 19th, ShopKo Stores announced second
quarter 2004 results. Net income was $8.3 million or $0.28 per share
compared with net income of $7.7 million or $0.26 per share in 2003.
Sales increased 1.4% to 775.6 million compared with $764.7 million last
year while comparable store sales rose 1.7%. This quarter was the second
consecutive quarter of sales improvement at the ShopKo division and
represented the sixth consecutive quarter of comparable sales increases
for Pamida. Commenting on the quarter, CEO Sam Duncan stated that he was
pleased with ShopKo’s earnings performance. He concluded that the
results were in line with expectations and reflect the progress of
merchandising initiatives at both divisions.
ShopKo also announced the locations of two new
ShopKo Express stores. Construction will begin this fall for a location
in the Village of Howard, Wisconsin, located near Green Bay. The store
will include a professional eye care centre and will open in mid-January
2005. The Howard site will be the second ShopKo Express location to be
opened. Previously, ShopKo announced plans to open an Express location
in Ledgeview, Wisconsin. In addition to the Ledgeview and Howard
locations, ShopKo has purchased an existing neighbourhood drug store in
Port Washington, Wisconsin near Milwaukee. This store is to be
completely remodeled and converted to the ShopKo Express format. The
ShopKo Express concept differs from the old ShopKo retail format in that
stores are smaller in size and focus exclusively on health, wellness and
grocery convenience items.
ShopKo shares have appreciated approximately 21%
since April and, in our opinion, remain attractive. Presently, the
shares trade at a 15% discount to book value of $20.40 and 12 times
expected earnings per share of $1.46. Same store sales dropped 0.5% in
August in what was a weak retailing environment, however management
expects sales growth to increase to the low single digits in September.
December 31, 2004
On November 18th, 2004 ShopKo Stores announced
third quarter financial results. Net income was $2.0 million or $0.07
per share compared with $1.0 million or $0.03 per share last year. Sales
for the quarter decreased 1.6% to 746.4 million from $758.5 million last
year. Comparable store sales for the third quarter decreased 1.5%.
Commenting on the quarter, ShopKo Stores, Inc. President and Chief
Executive Officer Sam Duncan said, "We are pleased with our increase in
earnings over last year, which reflects improvements in gross margin
rates and tight expense control. In addition, we are well positioned for
the fourth quarter with inventory levels below last year.”
ShopKo management is maintaining a conservative
outlook for the rest of the fiscal year (ending January 29th 2005). They
expect earnings in the fourth quarter to be in the range of $1.06 to
$1.16 and full year earnings to be in the range of $1.33 to $1.46 per
share. Shares of ShopKo are trading at 13 times this year’s earnings and
an 8% discount to its book value of 20.39 per share. Keep in mind that
ShopKo’s book value likely understates the value of its real estate,
which is stated at its historical cost. Looking ahead to next year,
ShopKo should benefit from new store openings and as well as several
store remodels.
April 8, 2005
Today, April 8th 2005, ShopKo Stores, Inc
announced that it has signed a definitive merger agreement to be
acquired by private equity investment firm Goldner, Hawn, Johnson, &
Morrison for $24 a share. The offer represents a 4 % premium over
ShopKo’s closing price yesterday of $23.03 and a 34% premium to ShopKo’s
March 1st closing price of $17.90.
It is interesting to note that while ShopKo is a
discount retailer; it is also a real estate play. Specifically, ShopKo
owns 80% of its ShopKo branded stores and 29% of its Pamida locations.
In addition, the company also owns its ShopKo and Pamida headquarters as
well as three distribution centres. These locations were purchased years
ago and are likely worth much more today than what the company
originally paid. In fact, various sources have indicated that the real
estate value alone in the company could be worth as much as $30 a share.
In theory, a buyer of ShopKo at $24 per share could enter into a
sale-leaseback agreement, and then use the proceeds to finance the
purchase of the entire company. In effect, to an aggressive acquirer,
ShopKo could be an attractive leveraged buyout (LBO) candidate. Overall,
with ShopKo now trading at $26.02, it appears that Goldner’s first offer
is too low and that a higher offer could be on the way. In summation, we
have decided at this time, to hold our shares and monitor the situation
closely.
July 29, 2005
Shares of ShopKo Stores have traded between $23.32
and $26.02 since April 8th; the day the company announced it had signed
an agreement to be purchased by buyout firm Goldner, Hawn, Johnson, &
Morrison (GHJM) for $24 a share. It is interesting to note that a
significant amount of trading in the stock has taken place above the
offer price of $24. John A. Levin & Co, a New York based Investment
Company, recently disclosed that it has purchased 1.8 million shares of
ShopKo or 6% of the company at prices ranging from $23.75 to $24.70. In
a letter to ShopKo’s Board of Directors, Levin & Co say they believe
GHJM’s offer for ShopKo is too low. Based on the value of ShopKo’s real
estate, working capital and prescription files, they believe ShopKo is
worth considerably higher- between $32.18 and $32.88 per share. Levin &
Co’s purchase could be a potential catalyst. If more ShopKo shareholders
voice their unhappiness towards the purchase price, GHJM or another
interested party may eventually have to pay a higher price to take the
company private.
September 2, 2005
The ShopKo takeover vote will occur on September
14th 2005. Although a higher price is possible, it is unlikely at this
time. Conversely, if shareholders vote against the merger the stock
could fall to pre-announcement levels of around $18-20. Interestingly,
this offer has been outstanding for over four months and no white knight
has emerged to pay in excess of the $24 takeover offer. Consequently, we
believe the prudent action at this time would be to sell ShopKo stock in
the market above the $24 a share offer price. This is exactly what we
have done for our three ABC Funds.
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