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Renaissance Energy Limited (TSX:RES) |
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| ABOUT THE COMPANY |
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Renaissance Energy Limited explores and develops properties throughout
Alberta and Saskatchewan and produces and markets crude oil and natural gas.
This Calgary-based company is in the midst of a restructuring and repositioning
initiative which is designed to restore previous levels of profitability.
Currently, Renaissance has proven and probable reserves of 475 million barrels
of oil and 1,710 billion cubic feet of natural gas. Renaissance Energy’s
immediate strategic objective is to double in size within three years through
property acquisitions, corporate takeovers or mergers.
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| FINANCIAL DATA |
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1998 |
1999 |
2000e |
| Cash Flow per Share ($) |
2.75 |
3.62 |
5.00 |
| Price to Cash Flow (times) |
4.7 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
| Dividend ($) |
- |
- |
- |
| Dividend Yield (%) |
- |
- |
- |
| Net Asset Value ($) |
24.00 |
20.00 |
20.00 |
| Price to Net Asset Value (times) |
0.54 |
0.65 |
0.65 |
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| PRICE GRAPH |
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| WHY ABC FUNDS BOUGHT THIS COMPANY |
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Renaissance is restructuring and repositioning itself in response to a
changing business environment, increasing global competition for capital and
recently disappointing results. After the departure of both the Chief Financial
Officer and the Chief Executive Officer, the Board of Directors established the
Office of the CEO to implement an interim business plan. We expect that a new
CEO will be named shortly and new strategic initiatives to begin in earnest.
Failure to adapt to changes in the industry has caught up with Renaissance and
the stock has fallen out of favour. However, we are optimistic that the company
will recapture its previous focus and industry leadership.
We believe that the stock market has already discounted the downward oil and
gas reserve revision, the uncertain management situation and the corporate and
operational reorganization. Renaissance’s share price decline has been
dramatic, with its stock price having fallen from a late-1996 high of
approximately $50 to $10.15 in March 2000. Nonetheless, Renaissance has
consolidated at $13.00 where it trades at only 2.6 times the expected cash flow
of $5.00 per share in fiscal year 2000. Despite the share price rebound from
recent lows, Renaissance is still trading below its $20.00 net asset value with
no value attributed to approximately $7.00 per share of tax pools. In short, we
believe that Renaissance has been given a fundamentally low valuation,
significantly below its peers, having been punished by the market place for
previous disappointments. We suspect that the hiring of a new, capable CEO could
be the eventual catalyst to share price improvement.
In the past, Renaissance has operated with a short-term asset base, which was
employed to aggressively generate cash flow. The company has recognized that a
more balanced portfolio is required and medium and long-term assets are needed
for continuing success. Capital will be redirected into properties with large
reserves and reasonable decline rates. The exploration program will be
accelerated and test sites will be drilled in areas with good potential for
major findings. Further, the company is committed to using both internally
generated cash and its $1.3 billion in credit facilities to acquire both
properties and other companies in the coming years. For fiscal year 2000,
Renaissance has set aside $770 million for such expenditures.
The present investor perception of Renaissance is that it has changed from
being a growth or momentum play to a deep value senior oil and gas investment.
Renaissance Energy’s share price appreciation will stem from the successful
implementation of its revised business plan and the selection of a proven and
experienced CEO. Under new management, we believe that Renaissance can complete
the turnaround and regain investor confidence. Moreover, Renaissance has no
controlling shareholder and, as a result, could be an attractive acquisition
target for a Canadian or foreign entity. Ultimately, we would not rule out an
unfriendly takeover of this substantially undervalued, large capitalization oil
and gas producer.
ABC Funds
May 2000
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| UPDATES |
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July 25, 2000
We originally bought Renaissance Energy as a
fundamentally undervalued, exploration and development, oil and gas
producer in the midst of a turnaround. Its share price was relatively
low considering its solid cash flow, accumulated tax pools and net asset
value discount.
While the company was repositioning itself for a
corporate turnaround, searching for a new CEO, redirecting its
exploration efforts toward better quality oil and gas properties and
investigating possible acquisitions, investor perception shifted. The
company was no longer viewed as a growth/momentum play but as a deep
value senior oil and gas investment. At our purchase price of $13.00 the
stock appeared fundamentally cheap and with no controlling shareholder,
Renaissance clearly was a viable takeover candidate.
Although we recognized the potential sweetener of
a takeover premium when we purchased Renaissance several months ago, we
expected that any takeover would be a relatively simple cash or
cash/stock combination from a publicly-traded acquisitor. Our target was
a minimum of $18. Last month, privately-held Husky Oil Inc. made a
friendly takeover offer for Renaissance. Though we were pleased to see
this development, after considerable examination, we were disappointed
that it wasn't as simple, straightforward or high in price as we had
expected.
After meeting with both companies, we concluded
that our $18 to $20 Renaissance price target could not be achieved over
the short run. Concerns were raised regarding insufficient company
information, the dilutionary effect to Renaissance shareholders and the
fact that the unknown and private nature of Husky Oil would make the
merged company a "show me stock". The combined entity would be
an integrated oil company, as opposed to a pure producer, and we
believed that other more attractive integrated oil companies were
available to investors. Unfortunately, the absence of a white knight
precluded a bidding war and the price for Renaissance was unlikely to be
increased. In consequence, we completely liquidated our Renaissance
Energy holdings at approximately $15.50 in mid to late July.

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