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November 21, 2003
On Nov 10th, Loews reported a net loss for the third
quarter of $1.4 billion, compared to net income of $239 million for the
third quarter of 2002. These results were significantly impacted by charges
at CNA Financial, the company's 90% owned insurance subsidiary, following
its recently completed reserve review. As a result of the charge, Loews has
agreed to provide financial support to CNA by purchasing $750 million shares
of convertible preferred stock.
Many investors initially perceived the announcement of
the charge and subsequent financing as negative for Loews/CNA stock. It is
important however to understand that the news was largely anticipated and
was therefore already reflected in the price of both Loews and CNA shares.
It should also be noted, that the charges taken by CNA were related to
underwriting mistakes made in the past by a management team that is no
longer at the company. In fact, we believe that if anything, these events
could spell relief for anxious investors and signal a bottom for the stock.
On a sad note, Loews chairman and founder Larry Tisch
passed away on Sunday November 16th at the age of 80. Although Larry Tisch
was considered by many to be a great businessman and investor, his passing
could crystallize a positive catalyst for Loews shares. For instance, with a
lower emotional commitment to Loews, his family could decide to break up the
company and sell the various businesses. If this action came to pass we
believe that the sum of the individual component parts would be far greater
than its present price.
February 20, 2004
On February 12, 2004, Loews reported that fourth
quarter net income increased 41% to $367.4 million or $1.79 per share from
$261.3 million or $1.20 per share in the same quarter last year. For the
year, Loews reported a net loss of $610.7 million compared to a net gain of
$910 million for 2002. This loss includes a $ 1.6 billion charge taken by
CNA Financial in the third quarter. CNA, which is 90% owned by Loews,
reported a strong fourth quarter. Net income rose 348% to $174 million or
$0.67 per share compared to income of $50 million or $0.21 per share last
year. The increase was primarily due to strong results at the company's
Property and Casualty operations. Rate increases, new business, continued
underwriting discipline and a focus on expense reduction contributed to a
99.1% combined ratio. A combined ratio below 100% indicates profitable
underwriting.
CNA shares, which recently traded at $28, fell as low
as $19 last November after the company announced it was taking a write down
of $1.6 billion to boost its reserves. Since this time, CNA has made some
strategic changes, which we believe were positive for the company. On
December 1st 2003, CNA sold its Group Benefits business to Hartford
Financial Services Group for approximately $500 million. On February 5th
2004, the company announced that it would sell its individual life insurance
business to Swiss Re for approximately $600 million. These transactions
should improve CNA's capital situation going forward and allow the company
to focus on its core Property and Casualty business. More importantly,
however, these transactions demonstrate the willingness of Loews management
to part with some of its under performing assets.
Loews shares have appreciated nearly 50% since
November and now trade at a 25% discount to its net asset value per share of
around $80. Loews' net asset value is based upon the current share prices of
its publicly traded subsidiaries and the book values of its remaining
businesses. It is interesting to note that the discount between Loews' share
price and its NAV has narrowed since the company's founder and Chairman
Larry Tisch passed away in November. This leads us to believe that there is
a higher probability that some or all the various parts of the holding
company could be sold. This is especially true given that current management
probably does not have the same sort of emotional attachment to the
businesses as Larry Tisch. If Loews were to be broken up and the pieces sold
off, we believe the sum of the parts of the various businesses would be
worth considerable more than the current share price of around $60.
July 2, 2004
On April 29, Loews reported first-quarter income
before net investment losses of $286.2 million or $1.54 per share compared
to $218.3 million or $1.17 per share in the comparable 2003 quarter. CNA
Financial, which is 90%, owned by Loews, showed improved underwriting
results at its property and casualty operations, which included a 96.8%
combined ratio for the quarter compared to 104% a year ago. At Carolina
Group, which is 67%, owned by Loews, net income before charges increased
5.3% to $131 million or $2.24 per share compared with net income of $124
million or $2.12 per share in the same period last year.
Loews shares have performed well recently because
the share prices of its publicly-traded companies have increased due to
good operating results and because the discount to its net asset value (NAV)
has decreased. Since Loews founder and former chairman Larry Tisch passed
away last November, the discount between Loews' NAV and its stock price
has narrowed from approximately 40% to 30%. We feel this narrowing
discount is due to the fact that Larry's children will be more inclined to
sell some of Loews non-core and/or under-performing assets given they
likely do not have the same emotional attachment to them as their late
father. In fact, since November, Loews management has already sold off its
group and life insurance businesses as well as its holdings in Majestic
Shipping. We feel that further sales could result in an additional
narrowing of the discount between Loews' share price and its NAV, which
now rests at roughly $84 per share.
November 26, 2004
On October 28th 2004, Loews Corp reported consolidated
net income for the third quarter of $277.6 million ($1.21 per share)
compared to a loss of $1,382.9 million ($7.60 per share) in the 2003 third
quarter. Consolidated net income for the first nine months of 2004 was 728.5
million ($3.93 per share), compared to a loss of $978.1 million ($5.29 per
share) in the comparable period of the prior year. Results for 2004 include
charges at CNA Financial Corporation, the Company's 91%-owned subsidiary, of
$158.8 million (after tax and minority interest) due to the impact of
Hurricanes Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne, partially offset by income of
$116.5 million (after taxes) from Hellespont Shipping Corporation, a
49%-owned company, following the sale of its four ultra-large crude oil
tankers.
On November 22, 2004 Loews Corp announced that is has
entered into a definitive agreement to purchase Gulf South Pipeline, LP from
Entergy-Koch, LP for $1.136 billion. Gulf South Pipeline owns and operates
an 8,000-mile interstate natural gas pipeline, gathering and storage system
located in the U.S. Gulf Coast. Gulf South is headquartered in Houston with
field offices located in Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama and Florida.
The Gulf South pipeline system is comprised of approximately 6,800 miles of
interstate transmission pipeline, 1,200 miles of gathering pipeline and 68.5
billion cubic feet of working gas storage capacity. The transaction is
expected to be accretive to earnings and cash flow per share.
May 27, 2005
With Loews trading near its 52 week high we have decided
to take our profits and sell our position in this New York-based
conglomerate. We originally purchased Loews as a “sum of the parts value”
story. At that time Loews was trading slightly below book value but more
importantly, it was being valued at a 40% discount to its net asset value.
Since that purchase at approximately $41.75 the stock has climbed to over
$73. Today, Loews is trading at a 13% premium to its book value of $65.47
and at a historically small conglomerate discount of 18% to its net asset
value (NAV) of around $90. In addition, we had originally held the belief
that Loews’ publicly traded subsidiaries, which constitute the majority of
its NAV, were undervalued as well. This implies a sort of double discount to
Loews valuation. However, since our purchase, two of Loews’ public
subsidiaries, Diamond Offshore Drilling and Carolina Group have appreciated
130% and 30% respectively. They are, in our opinion, no longer fundamentally
undervalued. Admittedly, while there may be some upside remaining in Loews
shares, we believe it is prudent to sell and reinvest the proceeds in common
shares with higher investment return potential.
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