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Canadian National Railway Company (TSX:CNR, NYSE:CNI) |
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| ABOUT THE COMPANY |
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Canadian National Railway (CN) operates 13,750 route miles of
tracks in Canada and the United States. With a fleet of 1,400 locomotives and
64,000 railcars, the Company mainly transports industrial goods, forest
products, grain, coal, sulfur, fertilizers and newly manufactured automobiles.
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| FINANCIAL DATA |
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1998 |
1999 |
2000 |
| Earnings per Share ($) |
3.09* |
3.71 |
4.67 |
| Price to Earnings (times) |
13.6 |
11.3 |
9.0 |
| Dividend ($) |
0.60 |
0.60 |
0.70 |
| Dividend Yield (%) |
1.43 |
1.43 |
1.67 |
| Book Value ($) |
27.30 |
30.23 |
32.53 |
| Price to Book Value (times) |
1.54 |
1.39 |
1.29 |
| * Excluding the special charge
and accounting change |
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| PRICE GRAPH |
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| WHY ABC FUNDS BOUGHT THIS COMPANY |
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The current focus on "new economy" stocks has caused investors to
ignore "old economy" companies. This circumstance has given value
investors the opportunity to consider large capitalization stocks which might
have otherwise been too expensive. CN is an excellent example of an old economy
"value" opportunity.
Canadian National Railway, a highly liquid and large capitalization stock,
has declined from a 52-week high of $54.50 and is currently trading at about 1.3
times book value. CN has a low price to earnings ratio of less than ten times
and a solid balance sheet. The company recently increased its dividend to $0.70
from $0.60 per share, raising its dividend yield to 1.8%. CN also announced a
6.4% or 13 million share buyback. These attractive valuations represent good
relative and historical value.
The management of CN, led by Paul Tellier, who was voted Canadian CEO of the
year in 1998, is one of the company’s strongest assets. Tellier and his team
are very capable and innovative. The company has made a superb turnaround from a
negative cash flow in 1995 of $118 million to a positive free cash flow of $224
million in 1999. This improvement was achieved through many cost reduction
programs. CN is continuing with these cost reductions to further improve the
overall efficiency of the company. Paul Tellier has shown that he has even
bigger plans for CN. This began with the 1998 purchase of Illinois Central
Corporation, improving CN's north/south access and currently, the potential
merger with Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corporation (BNSF). The BNSF merger
would create numerous cost and logistic synergies with little route overlap.
Rail routes would have fewer stops and redundancy hence less capital expenditure
would be needed. With the merger put on temporary hold by the American STB, we
do not doubt that Paul Tellier will look to other opportunities. In line with
this, CN has entered into various strategic corporate agreements which have
allowed CN to service all three NAFTA nations.
Not only does CN possess strong fundamentals but it also has a few hidden
assets. For instance, CN has acquired an 11.4 million share interest in a
cutting edge telecommunication firm, 360networks Inc. These shares were received
from two fibre-optic cable joint ventures which utilized CN track rights-of-way
to develop 360’s fibre optic transmission systems.
While CN is fundamentally strong there is still some vulnerability to
economic slowdown. However, all in all, we believe that Canadian National
Railway has the capabilities, capacity and innovation to improve its cost
structure and substantially expand its business interests.
ABC Funds
May 2000
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| UPDATES |
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July 31, 2000
Canadian National Railway has continued its
positive earnings trend in the second quarter of 2000. The company
earned $1.15 per diluted share versus the comparable quarter’s
earnings in 1999 of $1.00 per diluted share. These results are
particularly impressive as the company battles increasing fuel costs.
Although CN’s fuel expense significantly increased by 46% in the
quarter, the company was still able to report its best ever-operating
ratio of 68.6%.
In December 1999 CN and Burlington Northern Santa
Fe Corp. announced plans to merge their two railways. Unfortunately, the
U.S. Surface Transportation Board’s decision to implement a 15-month
moratorium on rail mergers terminated their plans. Both companies felt
that it was not in the best interests of shareholders to continue the
merger proceedings once the moratorium was put in place. The decision to
abandon the merger has definitely not discouraged new initiatives by CN.
The company recently announced a route-sharing agreement with Canadian
Pacific, which should be mutually beneficial to both companies. This
agreement should reduce operating costs significantly.
It is evident that CN remains focused on becoming
the best-run railroad in North America. CN’s solid fundamentals and
excellent management team headed by Paul Tellier gives us continued
confidence that the company is on the right track.
October 27, 2000
Canadian National Railway is an old economy stock
that has had to contend with increasing fuel costs and the fear of a
slowing economy. Despite this, we were pleased to see CN report earnings
per share for third quarter 2000 of $1.09 compared to $0.96 in the same
quarter of 1999. Revenues increased 4% to $1.33 billion and although
fuel costs rose 44% in the quarter, total expenses only rose 2%. This
led to an impressive operating ratio of 69.4%.
CN's strong free cash flow of approximately $290
million year to date has allowed the company to be aggressive in buying
back its stock which is anti-dilutive. To date, CN has purchased 11.4
million shares of its 13 million share repurchase plan at an average
price of $40.
CN is one of the most proactive companies in the
railway industry. While we are unsure whether merger talks with
Burlington Northern will be revisited, the two companies have, in the
meantime formed an alliance in order to share some of their track
systems. Joint ventures such as this along with continued cost cutting
initiatives have strengthened CN's fundamental base and investor
confidence.
January 26, 2001
Canadian National Railway once again reported
impressive 2000 fourth quarter earnings of $1.20 versus $1.03 in the
comparable quarter. Improved earnings were achieved despite an economic
slowdown which produced flat quarter over quarter revenues. This
economic slowdown, however, did not hinder CN's ability to achieve an
operating ratio of 68.3%, the lowest in the industry despite
significantly higher fuel costs. CN was also able to increase its free
cash flow to 7% of revenues, which prompted the company to institute a
dividend increase and share repurchase program.
Despite this excellent quarter, we are concerned
that CN could be victim to further economic decline and have taken the
opportunity to sell our entire position at an average price of about
$49.50.
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| INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT INFORMATION |
| Address : |
10 Four Seasons Place, Suite 1200, Etobicoke, Ontario, M9B
6H7, Canada |
| Phone : |
514-399-5736 |
Web Address : |
www.cn.ca |
| Fax : |
514- 399-3779 |
Email : |
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