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Value Vault: Archived Analysis
NOTE: This page has been archived and the commentary, data, and links on this page are current as of the last date indicated.
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| ABOUT THE COMPANY |
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Cominco Limited, incorporated in 1906, is the largest
producer of zinc concentrate and the fourth-largest zinc refiner in the world.
The Company's Red Dog mine in Alaska holds approximately 23 percent of the
Western world's zinc reserves and produced 521,000 dry tonnes of contained zinc
in 1999. Cominco also produces significant quantities of lead, copper, silver,
gold and other metals from facilities in Canada, Alaska and Peru. Teck
Corporation is the Company's single largest shareholder and holds almost 50% of
Cominco's common shares.
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| FINANCIAL DATA |
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1999 |
2000 |
2001e |
| Earnings per Share ($) |
1.86 |
1.99 |
2.50 |
| Price to Earnings (times) |
10.8 |
10.1 |
8.0 |
| Dividend ($) |
0.30 |
0.30 |
0.30 |
| Dividend Yield (%) |
1.50 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
| Book Value ($) |
17.70 |
20.30 |
23.00 |
| Price to Book Value (times) |
1.13 |
0.99 |
0.87 |
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| PRICE GRAPH |
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| WHY ABC FUNDS BOUGHT THIS COMPANY |
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Cominco is a low-cost, integrated mining company that
refines zinc and other base metals. The Company's reserves in Alaska are some of
the largest zinc deposits ever discovered and the Red Dog mine is the world's
largest. Cominco's focus on cost controls, operating efficiencies and production
increases generated a profit despite average zinc prices of only US$0.49/lb in
1999. In fact, the Red Dog mine yielded a return on capital employed of 15%,
well in excess of the Company's cost of capital. Zinc inventories have declined
throughout the year and the supply and demand conditions are expected to remain
tight in 2001, which should bolster zinc prices.
Cominco has key smelting and refining operations in
British Columbia at the Company's Trail facility that produce approximately 5%
of the Western world's refined zinc. Moreover, this division has a unique and
sustainable competitive advantage over other similar plants worldwide. Trail
satisfies its power requirements with electricity from Cominco's Waneta Dam
hydroelectric generating plant. Surplus energy is sold on the open market and
the contribution of this arrangement to the financial performance of the Company
is significant. In the most recently completed quarter, electricity sales
generated $36 million in revenue, almost 15% of Trail's total revenue, without a
material increase in operating costs. Current demand for electricity is so great
that Cominco received US$171 per megawatt hour compared to only US$25 last year.
As natural gas costs escalate, electricity prices continue
to skyrocket, especially in the northwestern United States, with volatile spot
prices fluctuating between US$350 and US$1000 per megawatt hour. Management
quickly and astutely recognized that at these prices, it was more profitable to
sell electricity than zinc. On December 7, Cominco announced that it had entered
into a fixed price power swap agreement with a major US energy company for US$86
million, or approximately $130 million in Canadian dollars, from December 11,
2000 to January 31, 2001. Existing sales of surplus power are unaffected but
Cominco will cut zinc production by approximately 20,000 tonnes over this
seven-week period. Contractual obligations to supply zinc will be fulfilled by
the purchases on the open market and employees will be reassigned temporarily to
other tasks.
ABC Funds originally purchased Cominco because of its
industry leadership position as a low-cost zinc producer. However, given the
recent electricity shortages, management realized that foregoing zinc sales in
order to sell electricity at the prevailing market rates would have a greater
impact on earnings. Despite higher tax rates on the sale of electricity, this
deal could increase EPS by $0.80 to $1.00, spread over Q4/00 and Q1/01. Should
management continue such sales, the impact on 2001 earnings could be
substantial. By unlocking the value of Cominco's power plant assets, management
has unveiled a catalyst that could enhance the valuation of this fundamentally
cheap company. Furthermore, because Teck owns approximately 50% of Cominco, the
possibility of a buyout of the minority shareholders, at a premium, always
exists.
ABC Funds
December 15, 2000
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| UPDATES |
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February 2, 2001
Cominco's fourth quarter and fiscal 2000 results
demonstrate a shrewd, opportunistic management decision to curtail zinc
production in order to sell electricity to the United States. In fact,
with the average electricity price at US$271 per megawatt hour in the
fourth quarter, compared to US$29 in the corresponding period in 1999,
Cominco's revenue increased approximately $80 million without any
significant increase in operating costs. Though zinc production was
reduced in order to free up power, earnings per share totaled an
impressive $1.99 for the full year and $0.94 for the fourth quarter.
This strong financial performance is expected to continue after it was
announced that production cuts and power sales would extend through
February and March and electricity prices reached approximately US$400
per megawatt hour in the spot market.
We feel that it is important to point out that no
employees were laid off and that the electricity sales are through B.C.
Hydro and "a financially strong American company", so credit
concerns are not an issue. We believe that management has made a sound
decision to use the surplus cash to reduce debt and strengthen the
Company's balance sheet. However, we look for the possibility of a
dividend increase, a share buyback initiative or an attractive
acquisition to act as a catalyst for further share price appreciation in
the coming months.
May 4, 2001
On April 30th, Teck Corporation and Cominco
Limited announced the intention to merge the two companies. Under the
agreement, each share of Cominco will be exchanged for 1.8 Class B
subordinate voting shares of Teck plus $6 in cash. The offer is worth
approximately $34 per share of Cominco, based on the Teck B closing
price of $15.46 on April 30th. Because the majority of the minority
shareholders must vote in favour of the terms of the deal, the
possibility exists for a greater premium to be paid.
The combined company, Teck Cominco Limited, will
have interests in the largest and third largest zinc mines in the world,
in addition to significant exposure to copper, gold and coal.
Opportunistic power sales to the United States will continue as long as
the electricity crisis persists. We believe that the consolidation of
world class mining assets will continue as base metals recover from
cyclical lows.
July 27, 2001On July 17,
2001 approximately 84% of Cominco's minority shareholders approved the
merger of Cominco and Teck Corporation, which became effective on July
20. Under the terms of the deal, Cominco shareholders received 1.8 Class
B subordinate voting shares of Teck and $6 in cash in exchange for each
share of Cominco. A shareholder meeting will be held in September to
consider the change of the combined company's name to Teck Cominco
Limited. Because we still see tremendous fundamental value in this
diversified mining and metals company, we have exchanged our shares as
previously described. Please see our full comment on Teck Cominco in our
Value Favourites section for more information on this holding.
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| INVESTOR RELATIONS CONTACT INFORMATION |
| Address : |
Mariette A. Paquette, Legal
Department, 500 - 200 Burrard Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, V6C
3L7, Canada |
| Phone : |
604-682-0611 |
Web Address : |
www.cominco.com |
| Fax : |
604-844-2509 |
Email : |
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