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September 15, 2000
Canada Bread's new management team and restructuring strategies have
begun to positively impact the company with its fourth consecutive
quarter of improved earnings. The company reported second quarter 2000
earnings of $0.14 versus $0.11 in the comparable quarter of 1999,
representing a 35% increase. This increase was due to the
discontinuation of unprofitable product lines, operating and sales
improvements, reduction of waste and better pricing. This result is a
reflection of the company's ability to keep with its new, disciplined
initiatives. Not only did Canada Bread's results further confirm our
confidence in the company's strength but its stock price has also begun
to show signs of improvement as investors have begun to take notice.
In addition to Canada Bread's cost cutting initiatives, the company
remains in a position to take advantage of the consolidation in its
industry. We believe Canada Bread, with some opportunistic takeovers
could penetrate new geographic markets. Canada Bread's healthy balance
sheet is conducive to this strategy with a strong cash position and very
little debt. Total debt to equity is less than 9% and book value is
$10.56. Maple Leaf Food's 68% ownership adds another interesting spin to
Canada Bread. Maple Leaf, unlike Canada Bread, reported poor comparable
earnings last quarter, with one area of strength being the Maple Leaf
Bakery division. We believe that Maple Leaf Bakery, with a considerable
U.S. presence, and Canada Bread would be a good strategic fit. This
combination would expand Canada Bread's North American business. Canada
Bread could also increase its presence in other geographic areas such as
Quebec where it already owns 25% of Multi-Marques Bakeries.
Overall, we feel that Canada Bread's restructuring strategies,
ameliorating performance and possible merger or acquisition
opportunities present a number of potential catalysts to improve its
share price.
January 26, 2001
We applaud Canada Bread's latest attempt to create
shareholder value. On January 20, Canada Bread announced that it reached
an agreement to purchase the 75% of Multi-Marques that it did not
already own. Canada Bread has nurtured a long time partnership with
Multi-Marques and we feel that the two companies are an ideal strategic
fit. We expect that the purchase will be mildly accretive to 2001
earnings and should improve 2002 earnings by more than $0.05.
The acquisition of Multi-Marques spawns a stronger
national platform for Canada Bread and adds $300 million to revenues.
With it, Multi-Marques brings many Quebec-based brand names along with
its 12 baking facilities. In addition, a greater eastern presence will
be acknowledged through Multi-Marques' 60% interest in Ben's Bakery.
Multi-Marques will keep its name and become a wholly-owned subsidiary of
Canada Bread. The financial terms of the deal have yet to be disclosed
and are still subject to regulatory approval.
In the meantime, we are patiently waiting for
Canada Bread's share price to reap the benefits of Roger Dickout's adept
management team. We feel that management will continue to be
opportunistic and have done an excellent job in turning around the
company despite fierce competition.
May 11, 2001
Canada Bread recently reported better than expected first quarter
2001earnings per share of $0.16 versus $0.11 in the year earlier period.
This 45% earnings increase is largely the result of a 4.8% growth in
sales and a significant margin expansion of 74 basis points. This
year-long trend of quarter over quarter improving results is indicative
of Canada Bread's future. We are confident that management will continue
to knead out margin improvements through its ongoing aggressive cost
cutting strategy that was implemented over a year ago.
For the balance of 2001 and beyond we expect additional operating
efficiencies to be realized, as well as, growth and consolidation
opportunities. Moreover, in the second half of 2001 Canada Bread should
begin to see the benefits of the Multi-Marques acquisition. Final
completion of this transaction is expected in the second quarter.
While Canada Bread's improving fundamentals are key to its price
appreciation, it remains an attractive and relatively defensive security
during a time of extreme economic volatility and consumer uncertainty.
October 12, 2001
In this period of economic uncertainty, Canada Bread is an ideal
investment. It is a defensive play that provides stability in this time
of extreme volatility. Despite the economic slowdown that has embraced
North America over the past 12 months, Canada Bread has managed to gain
earnings momentum through top line growth and improving operating
margins.
In the second quarter of 2001, Canada Bread improved its earnings per
share by 18.9% over the comparable quarter. A 6.3% increase in revenues
and an 8 basis point improvement in its operating margins to 4.6%
augmented its earnings growth. We feel this will be sustained as new
product lines and cost cutting measures develop. In addition, it is
expected that the proposed acquisition of the remaining 75% of Multi-Marques
will close by the end of the fourth quarter.
Although Canada Bread’s share price has appreciated significantly
since our initial write-up we will continue to hold at these levels. It
is a fundamentally strong, old economy company with a small amount of
debt. We feel that its defensive nature, positive earnings momentum and
potential catalytic events that may transpire with its major shareholder
Maple Leaf Foods could drive its share price up further.
March 1, 2002
Canada Bread's recently reported fourth quarter earnings results
marked its tenth consecutive quarter of year over year improvement in
operating earnings. Canada Bread's earnings per share for the fourth
quarter of $0.34 were fuelled by a 71% increase in revenues over the
comparable quarter and continued margin expansion. For the full year
Canada Bread's earnings per share were $0.97, an improvement of 45% over
the previous year's $0.67.
Although Canada Bread's acquisition of the remaining 75% of Multi-Marques
in October 2001 contributed to the company's impressive sales growth,
Canada Bread still managed to achieve an internal sales growth of 13%.
As Multi-Marques is further integrated into Canada Bread, we expect an
improvement of operating margins which will further enhance the bottom
line.
Overall, we feel that Canada Bread is well positioned for future
growth. The company remains fundamentally strong with a book value of
$11.74 and a debt to total capital ratio of only 0.15. While a little
pricey on a book value and a P/E ratio basis, Canada Bread remains a
core holding due to its defensive nature. Interestingly enough, its 68%
shareholder, Maple Leaf Foods could grow the company by merging Maple
Leaf's U.S. bakery operations and/or they might even decide to liquidate
their Canada Bread interest and concentrate on pork and meat processing.
In the event of this latter option, Canada Bread could be an interesting
takeover target.
July 19, 2002
With the capital markets in turmoil, Canada Bread continues to offer
a relatively safe haven for nervous investors. First quarter earnings of
$0.30 per share were inline with expectations and significantly above
the previous year's earnings of $0.19 per share. Revenue and earnings
per share growth of 69% and 58% respectively could be attributed to the
consolidation of Multi-Marques, internal sales growth and operational
improvements. We look for another solid performance with the release of
second quarter results sometime in late July.
In other news, on April 19, 2002 Roger Dickout was replaced as CEO by
Richard Lan, previously the President of Maple Leaf Foods global Bakery
Products Group and Chairman of Canada Bread. Mr. Dickout had
successfully achieved his mandate of turning around the Company,
completing the acquisition of Multi-Marques and positioning the Company
for future growth. Mr. Lan, an American, will now shoulder the
responsibility of expanding operations throughout North America and
internationally. In fact, Mr. Lan has already publicly discussed the
possibility of having Canada Bread purchase Maple Leaf Bakery in the
United States and Maple Leaf Bakery, UK from Maple Leaf Foods.
January 17, 2003
In late 2002, Canada Bread finalized the purchase of Maple Leaf
Bakery from Maple Leaf Foods. We believe this transaction should prove
to be a mutually beneficial. To put the acquisition into perspective,
Maple Leaf Bakery reported sales of $188 million in fiscal 2001 and held
approximately 50% of the market share of the national retailer par-baked
segment in the United States. Under the terms of the original offer, the
purchase price was approximately $260 million, including the assumption
of Maple Leaf Bakery's debt. Essentially, the acquisition was to be
financed by $60 million in cash and a note payable to Maple Leaf Foods
for the remaining balance.
However, CBY shareholders raised concerns regarding the optics of the
deal and the terms of the transaction. After negotiations, Maple Leaf
Foods agreed to accept $106 million of the $260 million purchase price
in shares of Canada Bread. The stock was issued from treasury at a price
of $26.50, which represented a 24% premium to CBY's ten-day average
closing price. By taking stock above market value, Maple Leaf Foods
demonstrated its long-term commitment to Canada Bread and its confidence
in the transaction. By paying stock for some of the purchase price,
Canada Bread was able to protect the health of its balance sheet. As
Canada Bread shareholders, we strongly endorsed the terms of the revised
offer.
Strategically, the purchase of Maple Leaf Bakery offers
diversification to the United States, several complementary product
lines and attractive growth potential. Maple Leaf Bakery's U.S.
operations manufacture and distribute frozen par-baked bread, rolls and
bagels. The recently acquired Grace Baking, based out of San Francisco,
produces fresh and frozen artisan breads. Maple Leaf Bakery's U.K.
subsidiary is the largest bagel producer in the United Kingdom. Once the
operations are integrated, management is expected to concentrate on
growing the par-baked segment, goods that are partially baked, flash
frozen and then shipped to customers who then complete the baking
process. This segment offers tremendous opportunities for growth because
it currently represents only a fraction of the U.S.
supermarket-retailing and foodservice industries but is rapidly gaining
acceptance.
May 9, 2003
As we described in our previous commentary, Canada Bread has expanded into the United States with an emphasis on par-baked products. In pursuit of this initiative, the Company purchased Maple Leaf Bakery Group from its parent Maple Leaf Foods. The non-arms-length nature of the transaction led to considerable discussion and negotiation with minority shareholders, but eventually the deal was successfully completed. Strategically, the par-baked segment of the market appears to offer a significant opportunity to continue to grow revenue and earnings. However, we believe that such a major undertaking is not without risk and therefore warrants caution.
While carefully analyzing Canada Bread’s 2002 annual report, we discovered that acquisitions, including Maple Leaf Bakery, created almost $220 million of incremental goodwill and intangible assets in 2002. Previously, we had been able to justify Canada Bread’s goodwill and intangible assets because they were related to the Company’s well-known brands such as Dempster and Tenderflake. However, accounting goodwill arising from acquisitions is eliminated under our fundamental valuation principles. At fiscal 2002 yearend, Canada Bread’s reported book value was $13.29 per share. After adjustments, the Company’s tangible book value was negative $2.87 per share.
As we were mulling over these factors and weighing our options, an opportunity to sell our shares at $25 presented itself. With thinly traded stocks, one sometimes has to act quickly and decisively. Our investment discipline helped us to make the decision to advantageously liquidate our entire position in Canada Bread in both ABC Funds.
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