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December 13, 2002
On November 21, 2002 Bon-Ton Stores announced
results for the third quarter of 2002. Net income for the quarter was
$0.3 million or $0.02 per share compared to a net loss of $0.5 million
or $0.03 per share, for the same period of fiscal 2001. Comparable store
sales decreased 4.6% in the quarter to $167.5 million. Softer sales were
offset by a 110 basis point increase in gross margin, reflecting a shift
in the company’s product mix towards more profitable private label
items. Bon-Ton’s balance sheet remains strong as debt decreased by
$37.6 million or 26% versus last year and inventory levels decreased 9%.
Bon-Ton repurchased 212,000 of its shares in the
first nine months of 2002 including 147,000 in the third quarter. During
it’s conference call the company stated that it would continue to
repurchase shares, as management believes the shares remain undervalued.
Bon-Ton has $1.62 million remaining in its share buyback program which
represents 400,000 shares or over 3% of its float at current market
prices. Bon-Ton is somewhat limited as it cannot repurchase more than
25% of the average volume traded in the last 30 days. Given that Bon-Ton
shares trade at less than 30% of its book value, share repurchases are
highly accretive to book value per share.
Heading into 2003, Bon-ton will be closing its
York distribution center in April and consolidating all of its
merchandise processing functions into its Pennsylvania center.
Management estimates the cost savings will contribute $0.01 to $0.02 in
earnings per share on an annualized basis. Capital expenditures of
$15-16 million are planned for 2003 and will be used for maintenance and
to invest in new technology for its existing stores. We continue to
believe that Bon-Ton shares are undervalued. The shares trade at less
than 7 times expected 2002 earnings of $0.55 per share and well below
its expected year-end book value per share of $13.83.
June 6, 2003
On May 22, Bon-Ton Stores announced that for the first quarter of
2003 the company lost $2.9 million or $0.29 per share on sales of $141.1
million. This compares with a loss of $4.4 million on sales of $150.5
million in the first quarter of 2002. Despite a 6.2% decline in revenue,
gross margins improved considerably from 33.3% to 37.0%. The increase
reflects Bon-Ton's efforts to better control its inventory which
resulted in fewer markdowns in the quarter.
On June 5th Bon-Ton announced that total sales for the month of May
decreased 1.6% to $51.1 million versus $51.9 million reported for the
same period last year. The majority of the sales shortfall was in
seasonal apparel merchandise. Keep in mind that all 72 Bon-Ton stores
operate in the Northeastern United States, an area that lately has been
experiencing below average temperatures and above average rainfall. We
feel there is a pent up demand for summer/spring clothing that will be
seen once the weather begins to improve.
Also, late this afternoon, Bon-Ton Store's board of directors
announced that the company would pay its first cash dividend to
shareholders in the amount of $0.025 per quarter or $0.10 per year. At
Bon-Ton's current share price of $4.50, this represents a yield of
approximately 2%. As a result of the decision, Bon-Ton's management has
acknowledged that, "given the company's liquidity and strong
balance sheet, the dividend provides another avenue of return to
shareholders."
Bon-Ton shares have performed well recently increasing 35% above its
November low of $3.37. It appears as though the investment community is
beginning to take notice of this under-followed company. Even with the
recent appreciation in price, we continue to believe that Bon-Ton
remains one of the most undervalued companies in the retailing sector.
The stock trades at only one third of its book value of $14 and less
than 7 times this year's expected earnings, which management believes
will be in the range of $0.65 to $0.70 per share.
September 19, 2003
On September 16th 2003, Elder Beerman, the ninth largest
department store operator in the United States, announced that it had
accepted an offer from Bon-Ton Stores to be acquired for $92.8 million
or $8.00 a share. Bon-Ton's final bid of $8.00 a share ended a bidding
war of sorts between it and Wright Holdings, a group led by Elder-Beerman
senior management. Elder-Beerman operates 68 department stores in the
mid-western United States including Ohio, West Virginia and Kentucky.
The company employs over 6000 employees and had sales of $138.6
million in 2002.
Bon-Ton CEO Tim Grumbacher said of the deal that "the ability to
add value for our shareholders is compelling". We agree. Bon-Ton is
purchasing Elder-Beerman at a significant discount to its tangible book
value of $14 per share. In addition, the acquisition makes sense
strategically as both companies focus on small to mid-size markets and
offer similar fashion-orientated merchandise with name brand vendors.
Also, there is virtually no geographic overlap between the two.
Bon-Ton shares have increased by $4 or almost 75% since it first
offered $7 a share for Elder-Beerman in July. The Bon-Ton story
illustrates the importance of the need for a catalyst when investing in
companies that are underfollowed and generally out of favour. We give
management at Bon-Ton full credit for creating this catalyst. They have
not only recognized the value of acquiring Elder-Beerman, but more
importantly, they have followed through with the purchase. We expect
Bon-Ton to release further information on the acquisition, including
financial projections, some time in mid-October after Elder-Beerman
shareholders have mailed in their proxy votes.
March 12, 2004
On March 11th Bon-Ton Stores announced results for its fourth quarter
and fiscal year 2003. The Company reported net income in the fourth
quarter of $24.4 million, or $1.52 per share, compared to net income of
$15.2 million, or $1.00 per share, for the same period of fiscal 2002.
For the twelve months ended January 31, 2004, the Company reported net
income of $20.6 million, or $1.33 per share, versus net income of $9.6
million, or $0.62 per share, reported for the prior year.
Bon-Ton management expects the company to earn between $1.20 and
$1.40 per share next year. This implies that Bon-Ton currently trades at
a forward price to earnings multiple of between 10 and 12 times. This
multiple is low when compared to the current multiple of most retail
stocks. In addition, Bon-Ton shares currently trade slightly above their
book value of $13.71. Keep in mind however that Bon-Ton's stated book
value does not include many of the Elder Beerman assets, which were
written down at the time of the merger.
December 17, 2004
On November 18th 2004, Bon-Ton reported a loss of $745,000 or $0.05
per share for the third quarter compared to a loss of $1.7 million or
$0.11 per share in the third quarter of 2003. For the first nine months
the company recorded a loss of $6.7 million or $0.42 per share versus a
loss of $3.8 million or $0.25 per share reported last year. Total sales
for the third quarter of fiscal 2004, increased 65.1% to $297.8 million,
including $137.7 million from the acquired Elder-Beerman stores,
compared to $180.4 million for the same period last year. Last year's
total sales included $15.3 million from the Elder-Beerman stores for the
period from October 24, 2003 through November 1, 2003. Gross margin
increased during the quarter to 37.9% from 37.2% in the same quarter
last year as a result of lower markdowns.
While Bon-Ton continues to face some integration challenges with
respect to its merger with Elder-Beerman, we are encouraged by recent
sales trends. Bon-Ton’s same store sales increased 5.4% in November
while Elder-Beerman reported a same store sales increase of 5.8 % in
October. Management expects the company to earn between $1.20 and $1.30
per share for this year, which implies that Bon-ton shares are trading
at less than 12 times earnings. This multiple is low when compared to
the multiple on most retail stocks.
June 24, 2005
US retail and food services sales were down 0.5% in May compared to
April but were 6.3% higher compared with May of last year. While
retailers in general fared well in May, Bon-Ton posted negative same
store sales of 6.1%. This was probably due to the fact that Bon-Ton’s
stores are located in the north-eastern part of the United States.
Abnormally cool weather in these regions hurt sales of many of its
spring/summer categories. However, with the onset of more favourable
weather recently, Bon-Ton could show better sales trends when it
releases its June sales figures in early July.
On Wednesday, June 21, 2005, Bon-Ton Stores announced that it has
reached a definitive agreement whereby HSBC Retail Services will
administer Bon-Ton's proprietary credit card business. Under the terms
of the agreement, HSBC will purchase Bon-Ton’s portfolio of existing
private label credit card accounts and any outstanding balances. Bon-Ton
is to receive cash for the accounts balances outstanding, plus a
premium. These funds will be used to pay down existing debt and for
general corporate purposes.
Bon-Ton’s credit card operation is a key component to its retailing
strategy. In each of the last three years more than 50% of all Bon-Ton
sales were paid for using a Bon-Ton credit card. During 2004 for
instance, the average dollar amount for Bon-Ton credit card purchases
substantially exceeded the average dollar amount for cash purchases.
Management believes that this arrangement will be “materially accretive”
to its previous earnings guidance for fiscal 2005 of between $1.70 and
$1.85 per share.
July 15, 2005
We have just sold our shares in Bon-Ton Stores, a long-time ABC value
favourite, which we have owned since September 2002. We made our
original investment in Bon-Ton when the shares were trading at $4.50. In
hindsight, this purchase turned out to be quite a bargain. Virtually
unknown by the investment community at the time, Bon-Ton was selling at
a 66% discount to its book value of $13.65 and a mere 8 times earnings.
Since this time, shares of the Pennsylvania-based fashion retailer have
quietly increased in value. The shares are up 43% in the last 12 months
and have rallied 14% since June 11th, the day the company announced it
was selling its credit card business for $316 million.
With shares of Bon-Ton recently hitting an all time high of $20.77,
we feel the stock is no longer fundamentally cheap. For example, the
shares now trade at a 26% premium to its book value of $15.83. Even if
we include the Elder-Beerman assets that were written down at the time
of the merger, the shares still trade above their net asset value.
Earnings, which management expects will come in between $1.70 and $1.85
per share this year, imply a price to earnings multiple of between 11 to
12 times. While not overly expensive, we feel this multiple is
appropriate given the company’s limited growth prospects.
With the Bon-ton sale, we plan to invest the proceeds in new
undervalued opportunities however, we may reconsider Bon-Ton for
repurchase if it once again becomes attractive.
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