Value Library
The following is an
excerpt from the ABC Perspective - April 2003 - Pg. 1
Determination
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- Firmness of purpose
Oxford American Dictionary
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I have always been of the opinion
that investment success entails more than good stock analysis. I believe
that investor conviction or determination to stick with an evolving
story is a necessary ingredient to financial prosperity.
As we explain to prospective ABC
clients we are value seekers. We hunt for undervalued, out-of-favour
investment securities, which might be held in complete disdain by
investment analysts, portfolio managers and the popular media. While we
may march to the tune of our own drummer it is never an easy task. There
are times when we might zig while the overall markets may be zagging to
temporary, extraordinary success.
It is at this time that our value
investment focus must be maintained through sheer determination and in
spite of any short-term underperformance. This was exactly our
experience during the September 1998 to March 2000 period when the high
technology mania, led by Nortel et al, produced a massive speculative
bubble. Throughout this year and a half long span we were second-guessed
and criticized by impatient clients who had been watching many
third-rate technology start-ups, with no profits and revenues, double
and triple in price. Nonetheless, although painful, we remained
determined and faithful to our deep value investment style.
In time, the securities market
returned to sanity with the re-emergence of fundamental value analysis
and the downfall of the over-extended high technology sector. In
retrospect our determination was severely tested. In all candour, it is
my view that this was neither our first time to be "put to the
test" nor would it definitely be the last. This is the essence of
the cyclicality of the securities market…which brings me to the
current investment environment.
I believe the present period of
tumultuous financial markets is testing us all over again. The global
geopolitical uncertainty involving Iraq and North Korea, the worldwide
precarious economic situation, murky corporate profit outlook, growing
incidence of under-funded pension funds, etc. is creating incredible
share price volatility. It is pushing investors' patience to their
limits. In consequence we have witnessed significant mutual fund
redemptions and stock market liquidation.
From our ABC Funds' point of view our
1998-2000 experience and our success of weathering that storm have
strengthened our backbone. By extension it will only serve to increase
our deep value investment conviction, which has served us so well over
the years. In addition it will enhance our determination to abide by our
value promise, which we offered investors in our original offering
memorandum. But more importantly, it will force us as portfolio managers
not to deviate from our investment style nor compromise our working
principles and disciplines.
Irwin A. Michael, CFA
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