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The following is an excerpt from the ABC Perspective - April 2002 - Pg. 1

Look Long-Term

The test of success is not what you do when you are on top.
Success is how high you bounce when you hit bottom.

- General George S. Patton

I am very proud of our ABC Funds. I grew them from virtually nothing.  I've nurtured the three funds from their start.  Since inception we have experienced considerable success, however, there have been some pretty dry stretches over the past 14 years.  None was more difficult than the July 1998-March 2000 period.

During this time high technology ran wild and many fundamental value investors, including myself, were left in a massive quandary.  Everything I learned in six years of university including two years at the prestigious Wharton School, teachings by a Nobel prize-winning professor, Harry Markowitz, the three-year Chartered Financial Analyst program, 26 years of battle-hardened work experience and a common sense, rational approach to investments went for naught. It didn't matter.

No one cared to look at balance sheets, income statements or annual reports. And quite frankly you didn't have to.  Cocktail party chatter, rumours and gossip ensured the enormous success of any high tech initial public offering.  Huge sums of money were made on paper by investors who simply flipped IPOs or rode up an overly promoted tech stock.  Hype was in. Gargantuan fortunes were made on paper by financially illiterate and neophyte investors.  The laws of nature, Sir Isaac Newton and common sense were rejected. Investors were hallucinating.  It seemed to many that trees, indeed, did grow to the sky.

Savvy value investors such as Warren Buffett were criticized as being out of touch and behind the times.  In fact, we, at ABC, were severely admonished for not buying Nortel and other high technology shares.  We lost numerous clients.  However, we stuck to our value style and disciplines.  We believed that this was exactly what our investors expected us to do, just as we had promised them in our ABC offering memorandum.

To make a long story short, the laws of gravity have not been refuted.  Starry-eyed investors have been chastised.  Discipline, focus and fundamental value investing are now in favour. Reality is back. The mania is over.  Investors now realize that capable investment professionals can and do provide value-added to the investment management process.

Rest assured that we will continue to abide by our style and investment discipline. We will remain focussed on our value hunt for fundamentally undervalued common shares.  But more importantly, our focus is on the long-term.  In fact, look at the long-term.  Our ten-year performance track record of our ABC Fundamental-Value Fund is a compounded annual rate of return of almost 20%.  This return incorporates both the good and bad stretches over the past decade, including that tough 1998-2000 period.  Incidentally, I am told that this is the best ten-year performance record of any mutual fund in Canada.

Summing up, I believe that looking long-term is key to financial success.  Manias, frivolous trends and the herd instinct go in and out of style.  I honestly believe that looking long-term and focussing on solid fundamental disciplines will continue to provide for superior long-term investment performance.

Irwin A. Michael


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