| February 27, 2004
On February 6th 2004, American National Insurance
Company announced fourth quarter 2003 net income of $72.3 million or
$2.73 per share compared to a net loss of $62.8 million or $2.37 per
share for the same period in 2002. After tax net gain from operations
for the fourth quarter was $48.8 million or $1.84 per share versus a
loss of $1.4 million of $0.05 per share last year. Net income for the
full year of 2003 was $182.2 million or $6.88 per share compared to net
income for 2002 of $16.9 million or $0.64 per share. The after tax net
gain from operations for the full year of 2003 was $160.8 million or
$6.07 per share versus $102.5 million or $3.87 per share for 2002, an
increase of 56.9%.
American National's operations showed impressive
growth during 2003. Premiums for the full year grew 12.9%, revenues
increased by 19.7% and assets rose by 23.7%. American National had a
return on equity of approximately 6.4% in 2003, which was a noticeable
improvement over its return on equity in 2002 and 2001 of just 2.2% and
0.6% respectively. Keep in mind also that American National, unlike many
of its peers, has virtually no debt. As a result, the company's return
on equity appears less impressive since it does not get a pick up due to
the use of financial leverage. Shares of American National now trade at
an 17% discount to its book value of $113.85 per share and yield
approximately 3.1%. We believe that if American National continues to
post improving results, i.e. growth in premiums, higher return on
equity, etc, the discount between its book value and share price will
continue to narrow.
May 20, 2004
American National Insurance Company announced first quarter 2004 net
income of $64,704,000 ($2.44 per share) compared to $40,121,000 ($1.51 per
share) for the same period in 2003, a 61.3% increase. After tax net gain
from operations for the first quarter was $62,618,000 ($2.36 per share)
compared with $42,988,000 ($1.62 per share) for the same period in 2003, a
45.7% increase. These gains from operations exclude any net realized
investment gains and losses.
Premiums for the first quarter of 2004 increased 13.6% to $499.9
million from $440.0 million in 2003 while policy account deposits
increased 9.2% to $513.0 million from $469.8 million a year earlier. A
significant contributor to this quarter’s results was the property and
casualty multiple lines business. After tax gains more than doubled from
the previous quarter to $29.2 million while the combined ratio improved
from 97.2% to 89.7%.
At $92, shares of American National trade at a 23% discount to its
tangible book value of $119.80 per share. The company’s balance sheet
remains impressive given that it is debt free and has excess capital. This
fact has not gone unnoticed by the rating agencies. The company is
currently rated A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best Company, and AA (Very Strong)
by Standard & Poor's. Earnings have shown improvement during the last two
quarters and we suspect that if this trend continues, American National’s
stock price could begin to approach book value. In the meantime, investors
can take comfort in a $2.96 dividend, which represents a yield of over 3%.
August 6, 2004
American National Insurance Company announced second quarter 2004 net
income of $64,154,000 ($2.42 per share) compared to $25,780,000 ($0.97 per
share) for the same period in 2003. After tax net gain from operations for
the second quarter was $49,758,000 ($1.88 per share) compared with
$25,374,000 ($0.96 per share) for the same period in 2003, a 96.1%
increase. After tax net gain from operations excludes after tax net
realized investment gains and losses which totaled $14,396,000 for the
second quarter of 2004 compared with net realized gains of $406,000 for
the same period in 2003.
Premiums for the first six months of 2004 were $1,024,719,000, an
increase of 16.1% over the amount for the first half of 2003. Policy
account deposits received were $873,558,000 versus $1,277,040,000 for the
first six months of 2003. The decrease in policy account deposits was
primarily the result of reduced annuity sales consistent with the 2004
business plan. The property and casualty business of the Multiple Line
operations was the largest contributor to the increase in operating
earnings. After tax gain from the property and casualty business for the
first half of 2004 was $47,082,000, which was more than double the results
of the first six months of 2003. The combined ratio was 92.9%, a
significant improvement over the 99.9% combined ratio achieved in the
first half of 2003.
Shares of American National trade at a 22% discount to its book value
of $119.54 per share and yield approximately 3.2%. We believe that if
American National continues to post improving results, i.e. growth in
premiums, higher earnings and return on equity, etc, the discount between
its book value and share price will continue to narrow.
August 20, 2004 On August 17th American
National Insurance Corp. announced that its subsidiary Property and
Casualty Companies estimates that the after-tax net impact from Hurricane
Charley will be in the $7 million range. This is roughly $0.26 a share,
which is not material in the context of a $12 billion company. As of
August 16, 736 homeowner, 44 auto, and 1 boat claims have been reported.
Prior to Hurricane Charley making landfall, American National made early
preparations for sending Catastrophe Teams to the areas damaged. We are
relieved with this news given that reports estimate the damage from
Hurricane Charley to insured properties at $7.4 billion.
October 29, 2004 On October 25th 2004
American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported third quarter results.
Net income was $47.0 million ($1.77 per share) compared to $44.0 million
($1.66 per share) for the same period in 2003. After tax net gain from
operations, which excludes realized investment gains and losses, were
$42.7 million ($1.61 per share) compared with $42.8 million ($1.62 per
share) in the third quarter of 2003.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for the first
nine months of 2004 was $59.4 million, which was a 60% increase over the
results of the first nine months of 2003. This strong increase in earnings
was achieved in spite of record catastrophe losses in 2004 as a result of
hurricanes Charlie, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne. In addition, the P&C
division improved its combined ratio, a common measure of profitability in
the industry, from 98.6% to 95.8%.
Year to date, ANAT has earned $6.64 per share compared to $4.15 for the
first three quarters of 2003; a 60% increase. These results have not gone
unnoticed by investors. ANAT shares are up over 23% so far in 2004. ANAT
shares trade at a 13% discount to its book value of $120.72 per share
while carrying a decent yield of 2.8%.
March 4, 2005
On February 7th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT)
reported third quarter results. Net income was $79.7 million ($3.01 per
share) compared to $72.3 million ($2.73 per share) for the same period
in 2003. After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized
investment gains and losses, were $65.2 million ($2.46 per share)
compared with $49.6 million ($1.87 per share) in the third quarter of
2003.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was
$99.4 million, which was a 70% increase over the results of 2003. In
addition, the P&C division improved its combined ratio, a common measure
of profitability in the industry, from 97.3% to 92.8%.
For the year, ANAT earned $8.30 per share excluding realized gains.
This represents a respectable 7.3% return on equity, which is an
improvement from prior years. The company remains debt free and pays a
quarterly dividend of $0.74, which yields investors around 2.75% a year.
Finally, ANAT shares currently trade at a 14% discount to its book value
of $124.46 per share.
April 29, 2005
On April 25th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported
first quarter results. Net income was $90.9 million ($3.43 per share)
compared to $64.7 million ($2.44 per share) for the same period in 2004.
After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized investment
gains and losses, was $80.3 million ($3.03 per share) compared with $62.6
million ($2.36 per share) in the third quarter of 2004.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was
$43.4 million, which was a 49% increase over the results of 2004. In
addition, the P&C division significantly improved its combined ratio, a
common measure of profitability in the industry, from 89.7% to 82.6%.
For the last 4 quarters, ANAT’s combined earnings per share (excluding
realized gains) was $8.98 which represents a 7.2% return on equity. This
is impressive given that ANAT has no interest bearing debt and therefore,
its earnings do not get a lift from the use of financial leverage. In
addition, ANAT continues to pay a quarterly dividend of $0.74, yielding
investors around 2.8% a year. ANAT has paid this dividend for 94
consecutive years and last increased the dividend in 2001. At its present
price, we believe that ANAT remains fundamentally undervalued given that
its shares trade at a 16% discount to its book value of $124.95 per share.
August 12, 2005
On July 25th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported
second quarter results. Net income was $55.5 million ($2.10 per share)
compared to $64.1 million ($2.42 per share) for the same period in 2004.
After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized investment
gains and losses, was $53.9 million ($2.04 per share) compared with $49.8
million ($1.88 per share) in the second quarter of 2004. The property and
casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to the increase in
operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was $71.1 million,
which was a 51% increase over the results of 2004.
ANAT’s return on equity ratio (ROE) remains in the 7% to 8% range.
While this scores below the industry average, it is important to keep in
mind that ANAT employs a fairly risk- adverse approach to running its
business. First of all, the company scarcely uses financial leverage. For
instance, at the end of the second quarter ANAT had a debt to equity ratio
of less than 4%. Second, management maintains a low-risk investment
portfolio consisting mostly of government and investment grade corporate
bonds. This compares with insurers who will often invest the majority of
their assets in higher yielding, riskier investments such as mortgage
backed securities and common stocks to increase their ROE. Finally, ANAT
is quite conservative in the actuarial assumptions it uses to set aside
reserves for the future. In short, the company is overcapitalized and as a
result, has much flexibility and considerable options. For example,
management could use this excess capital to underwrite more policies, buy
back its stock, make accretive acquisitions or increase their quarterly
dividends. Incidentally, share repurchases would be anti-dilutive as ANAT
shares currently trade at a 4% discount to its book value of $127.71.
September 9, 2005
On September 2, 2005 American National Insurance Corp. announced that
its subsidiary, Property and Casualty Companies, estimated that the
after-tax net impact from Hurricane Katrina would be in the $17 million
range. This amount is roughly $0.65 a share, which is not extraordinary in
the context of a $12 billion company. ANAT is able to limit its potential
disaster losses because it takes out reinsurance to protect itself. It is
interesting to note that without this reinsurance, ANAT’s exposure to
Hurricane Katrina, probably would already amounted to over $100 million.
November 4, 2005
On October 24th, 2005, American National Insurance Company (ANAT)
announced third quarter results. Net income for the quarter was $54.0
million ($2.04 per share) compared to $47.0 million ($1.77) for the same
period of 2004. After tax net gain from operations for the third quarter
was $42.3 million ($1.60 per share) compared with $42.7 million ($1.61 per
share) in 2004. This amount excludes after tax net realized investment
gains and losses. Incidentally, after-tax losses for the third quarter
from hurricanes Katrina and Rita totaled approximately $33.8 million
($1.28 per share). In the context of its $17.6 billion of assets, ANAT’s
exposure was less than 0.2% of its asset base.
Recently, investor concern relating to hurricane activity in the US
Southeast has sent shares of ANAT below $120 per share. However, with the
fall storm season coming to an end, and the financial impact from the
hurricanes largely calculated, we believe investors will once again be
attracted to ANAT’s relatively cheap valuation and strong balance sheet.
The shares currently trade at a 7% discount to their book value of $127.61
and pay an annual dividend of $2.96 producing a yield of 2.5%. More
importantly, ANAT remains debt free and has excess capital which could be
used to increase the dividend, repurchase shares or make an accretive
acquisition.
November 24, 2006
This year will mark the 96th consecutive year a dividend will be paid
to American National Insurance Company (ANAT) shareholders. Over the
years, the dividend has been raised slowly but steadily. In fact, it was
recently increased again in October from $0.75 to $0.76 per quarter. At
$113 per share, ANAT now yields around 2.7%, and given its payout history,
we think this dividend is pretty secure.
After a fairly benign hurricane season this year, we don’t expect any
material underwriting losses to surface in the fourth quarter. Third
quarter results also had few surprises. ANAT earned $1.89 per share from
operations, and had realized gains from investments of $0.17. We expect
ANAT’s return on equity for 2006 to be in the range of 5 to 6%. While this
number is low compared to other insurers, it is important to remember that
this return is unlevered given that ANAT does not employ any long term
debt.
ANAT is not widely followed on Wall Street. It also has a relatively
small float given that the Moody family of Texas owns a significant
proportion of the outstanding shares. In consequence trading in the stock
is pretty thin and share price movements can be erratic. For the patient
long term investor however, ANAT shares appear attractively priced. In
addition to its good yield, shares of ANAT are trading at a 14% discount
to its $130.97 book value. More importantly, ANAT remains debt free and
has excess capital which could be used to increase the dividend,
repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition.
March 9, 2007
A fairly benign hurricane season helped to lift American National
Insurance Company (ANAT) to its best fourth quarter on record. On Feb
16th, the Galveston based insurer posted earnings of $110 million or $4.17
per share compared to earnings of $35 million or $1.34 per share in the
fourth quarter of 2005. For the year, ANAT earned $273 million, or $10.27
per share compared to $236 million or $8.87 per share a year earlier, a
16% increase. While impressive, it is important to keep in mind that 2005
was a very active hurricane season resulting in higher than normal
underwriting loses. On the other hand, hurricane activity in 2006 was
negligible producing significantly fewer claims.
Looking ahead, we believe ANAT can grow its earnings around 5% a year
on average. This assumes a sustainable return on equity of 7%, and a 30%
dividend payout ratio which is in line with previous years. As we have
pointed out in the past, the controlling Moody family has deliberately
chosen this slow but steady approach to managing the Company. ANAT uses
virtually no financial leverage and employs a disciplined and conservative
underwriting philosophy. This is evident by observing ANAT’s A+ (superior)
rating by A.M Best, and its AA (very strong) rating by Standard and
Poor’s. Given the recent stock market volatility, we take comfort in
ANAT’s rock solid balance sheet and high credit rating.
As a patient investor with a longer term view, we believe ANAT remains
an attractive investment given its risk/reward characteristics. In
addition to its 2.4% dividend yield, ANAT trades at a 6% discount to its
book value of $134 per share. More importantly, ANAT remains debt free and
has excess capital which could be used to increase the dividend,
repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition. Finally should the
Moody family ever decide to sell the company we believe that ANAT would
fetch a significant premium to its current public market value.
June 1, 2007
On April 23rd American National Insurance Co. (ANAT) reported earnings
of $49.2 million or $1.85 per share compared to earnings of $56.2 million
or $2.11 per share for the same period in 2006. Earnings before investment
gains, a more meaningful comparison, increased 4.3% to $50.7 million or
$1.91 per share compared to $48.7 million or $1.83 last year. ANAT’s life
insurance and annuity division preformed exceptionally well. Policyholder
deposits increased 37% year over year while earned premiums, which tend to
lag deposits, increased 31%.
Although shares of ANAT have increased 27% this year, we believe they
are still relatively inexpensive. In addition to its 2.1% dividend yield,
ANAT trades at only 1.1 times its book value of $135 per share. More
importantly, the Company’s balance sheet remains rock solid. Not only does
ANAT remain debt free with one of the highest credit ratings in the
industry, but it also has excess capital which could be used to increase
its dividend, repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition.
Finally, it is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition
target. It would actually be cheaper for a larger insurer to just buy ANAT,
with its strong franchise and established distribution network, then to
start the business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e.
the Moody family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a
significant premium to its current market value.
August 31, 2007
With the recent stock and credit market turmoil, particularly in U.S.
financial stocks, (i.e. Bear Stearns and Countrywide Financial), we felt
an update on American National Insurance Company (ANAT) was appropriate.
Given that ANAT has consistently paid a dividend for 96 years, it should
come as no surprise that ANAT’s managers have a fairly conservative
investment philosophy. ANAT’s portfolio is comprised mostly of government
and corporate bonds, public utility debt, common and preferred shares.
It is reassuring to know that ANAT has no sub-prime mortgage exposure, and
its AA credit rating remains one of the highest in the insurance business.
On July 23rd ANAT announced terrific results for the second quarter.
The company reported earnings of $58.9 million ($2.22 per share) compared
to earnings of $51.3 million ($1.93 per share) for the same period in
2006. Earnings before investment gains, a more meaningful comparison,
increased 53.1% to $53.9 million ($2.03 per share) compared to $35.2
million ($1.32 per share) last year. ANAT’s life insurance and annuity
division preformed exceptionally well. Policyholder deposits increased 34%
while earned premiums from life insurance and annuities increased 67%.
Over the last 12 months, earnings per share were $10.35 and return on
equity (ROE) was a respectable 8.1%.
Like most financial companies, ANAT earns profit from its spread, which
is the difference between what it pays in claims and what it earns on its
investments. In recent years ANAT’s spread has narrowed due to a
flattening yield curve and a shrinking credit spread between US treasuries
and corporate bonds. Recently however, these trends have begun to reverse,
and this should help boost ANAT’s earnings in coming years. Interestingly,
ANAT is debt free and has excess capital at its disposal. With its shares
currently trading at a 10% discount to its $137 per share book value, the
company could use the cash towards an accretive share buyback. Finally, it
is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition target. It
would actually be cheaper for a larger insurer to just buy ANAT, with its
strong franchise and established distribution network, than to start the
business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e. the Moody
family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a significant
premium to its current market value.
October 26, 2007
On October 22nd American National Insurance Company (ANAT) announced
third quarter results. Net income was $79.2 million or $2.98 per share
compared to $54.8 million or $2.06 for the same period last year. After
tax operating earnings, which excludes realized investment gains and
losses, increased 13.3% to $57.1 million or $2.15 per share, compared with
$50.0 million or $1.89 per share for the same period in 2006. Policyholder
deposits on interest-sensitive products, both life insurance and
annuities, totaled $944 million at the end of the quarter, an increase of
15.9% from the same period in 2006. In addition, earned premiums from life
insurance and annuities increased 33.6% to a total of $423 million.
Shortly following its quarterly release, ANAT’s board of directors
approved an increase to its quarterly dividend from 76 to 77 cents per
share. Based on current prices, ANAT shares now yield over 2.4%. It should
be noted, that this is the 97th consecutive year that dividends have been
paid to stockholders. It is also the 31st dividend increase in the last 34
years. However, given that earnings have increased over 20% year to date,
the size of the increase – just 1.4% - seems conservative. On the other
hand, ANAT could be conserving its cash. With its virtually debt-free
balance sheet and its shares currently trading about $10 below its $140
book value per share, ANAT could decide to take advantage of the current
stock market volatility and repurchase its fundamentally undervalued
shares in the market.
July 11, 2008
U.S. Financial stocks continue to perform poorly in 2008 and American National Insurance Corporation (ANAT) is no exception. So far this year, ANAT shares are down about 20% which compares favourably to the S&P 500 Diversified Financial Services Industry Index which is down close to 40%. Shares in US investment banks such as Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, and Citigroup are now paying the price for making questionable loans and using excessive amounts of leverage. Meanwhile, ANAT has remained debt free and has virtually no exposure to sub-prime mortgages, CDOs, asset backed commercial paper etc. In fact, on May 13th, A.M. Best revised its outlook on ANAT to stable and affirmed its financial strength rating of A+ (Superior).
Although ANAT has managed to avoid many of these mortgage related pitfalls, its fortunes are still tied to the ups and downs of the property and casualty cycle. On April 21st, 2008, the company announced that first quarter 2008 net income fell to $39.0 million ($1.46 per share) compared to $49.2 million ($1.85 per share) for the same period in 2007. After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized investment gains and losses was $42.7 million ($1.60 per share) for the first quarter compared with $50.7 million ($1.91 per diluted share) for the same period in 2007. The reason for the decline was an increase in catastrophic losses from an extremely low level of $3.7 million in 2007 to a more normal level $14.1 million in 2008.
Even though earnings are expected to be somewhat lower this year compared to 2007, we see a bigger trend emerging which could give ANAT’s earnings a nice boost in future years. Since the credit market troubles began close to a year ago, the US yield curve has steepened while credit spreads have widened. This is good for well capitalized banks and insurers because as bonds mature over time, the proceeds can be reinvested at today’s higher rates. This would effectively boost ANAT’s interest income and could add materially to the company’s earnings per share over time.
In summary, we believe that ANAT remains one of the cheapest insurance companies in North America as it currently trades at a 30% discount to its book value of $138.53. In addition, the company’s dividend of $3.08 payable at $0.77 per quarter gives ANAT a $3.18% investment yield. This dividend is adequately covered by the company’s recent quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share. It should also be noted that ANAT has excess capital which could be used to accretively repurchase shares below book value. Finally, it is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition target. In fact, it would actually be cheaper for a competitor to just buy ANAT, with its strong franchise and established distribution network, than to start the business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e. the Moody family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a significant premium to its current market value.
October 3, 2008
American National Insurance has been dealing with two disasters - one natural (Hurricane Ike) and the other financial (the current credit crisis). Both of these events have weighed heavily on ANAT’s share price, which has recently fallen to a nearly five year low of approximately $84.75. In reality, we believe that neither Hurricane Ike nor the current credit crisis poses a major risk to ANAT. In fact, we would argue that in the years to come, ANAT will probably be a major benefactor as a result of these two events.
Hurricane Ike:
While it is too early to estimate the financial impact of property and casualty claims from Hurricane Ike, we believe ANAT is adequately reserved, and geographically diversified enough to absorb any potential claims. Keep in mind that ANAT has a 100 year history and has been through many natural disasters including hurricanes. In addition, ANAT carries a significant amount of reinsurance which helps to mitigate the cost of large settlements. It should also be stated that large natural disasters are typically good for those insurers with sound underwriting practices and strong balance sheets such as ANAT. This is because after major storms such as Hurricane Ike, insurance premiums tend to rise as less well capitalized competitors leave the market and those remaining reassess their underwriting risk.
Credit Crisis:
Given the problems at Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Freddie and Fannie Mae, AIG, Wachovia etc, many investors have been left wondering “who is next”. Not wanting to take a chance, many investors are indiscriminately selling their shares in even the most stable and secure financial companies. This includes companies such as ANAT. In response to this panic, executives at ANAT issued an open letter to shareholders on September 19th to reemphasize the financial stability of the company. The highlights of this letter include the following:
- While other companies have been lured by more exotic investments such as Collateralized Debt Obligations, Credit Default Swaps, and sub-prime mortgages, American National staunchly adhered to its traditional and conservative investment policy.
- American National has maintained a well-diversified investment portfolio consisting mostly of investment grade bonds, conservatively underwritten commercial mortgages and common stocks.
- The amount of potential impairments under current market conditions should account for less than 5% of our capital and surplus, which totaled $3.5 billion as of June 30, 2008
While ANAT may report relatively small investment losses this year, we believe it is actually benefiting from the current environment. In the past year, the US yield curve has steepened and credit spreads have widened. This is good for American National because as their bonds mature, the proceeds can be reinvested at much higher rates. This would effectively boost ANAT’s interest income and could add materially to the company’s earnings per share in future years.
Overall, we continue to believe that ANAT remains one of the cheapest insurance companies in North America as it currently trades at a 37% discount to its book value of $134.28. In addition, the company’s dividend of $3.08 payable at $0.77 per quarter gives ANAT a $3.18% investment yield. This dividend is adequately covered by the company’s recent quarterly earnings of $1.46 per share. It should also be noted that ANAT is virtually debt free and has excess capital which could be used to accretively repurchase shares below book value. Finally, it is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition target. In fact, it would actually be cheaper for a competitor to just buy ANAT, with its strong franchise and established distribution network, than to start the business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e. the Moody family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a significant premium to its current market value.
June 12, 2009
Thankfully, the credit and equity markets have recovered from the brink of collapse. Although it has been a wild ride, fundamentally sound banks and insurance companies have rallied off their lows. Over the past year, shares of American National Insurance Company (ANAT) plunged from a 52-week high of $111.99 to reach a low of $33.74 per share, a decline of 70%. As the markets rebounded so did the shares, which bounced approximately 120% to the current price of $75 per share.
Throughout the crisis, deciphering the balance sheets, valuing assets and determining potential liabilities, was an extremely difficult task. However, the credit and equity markets are no longer anticipating a “worst-case-scenario”. The pricing of financial assets and liabilities has become more rational and transparent. Since 1905, ANAT’s conservative culture and balance sheet enabled the Company to survive all manner of “wars, hurricanes, economic volatility, extraordinary technological advancements, evolving products and the changing needs of policyholders and agents”. We believe that the Company has weathered this most recent storm and has emerged financially sound.
In fiscal 2008 and in the first quarter of fiscal 2009, the impact of falling stock markets and weak credit markets had a significant impact on the Company’s financial performance. After tax net realized investment losses totaled $246.7 million and $47.75 million, in fiscal 2008 and Q1/09 respectively. Currently, only 8% of the Company’s investment portfolio is in preferred and common stocks, with the balance in debt securities. The bond portfolio is diversified and investment grade with 95% of the positions rated BBB or higher. With a conservative asset mix and a better tone to the markets, we believe that Q1/09 will prove to be the trough in terms of investment performance.
Now that the dust is beginning to settle, we can return our focus to the performance of the Company’s ongoing operations. Today, ANAT has over $69 billion of life insurance policies in force and over $18.5 billion of assets. As a display of confidence, the Board declared the regular quarterly dividend of $0.77 per share on April 24th. Amazingly, this is the 99th consecutive year that dividends have been paid to shareholders. From a valuation perspective ANAT trades well below its historic price to book multiple of 0.8. With a current book value of $115.46 per share, we believe that the stock should continue to rebound from historic lows as the underlying credit and equity markets stabilize.
July 2, 2010
Shares of American National Insurance Company (ANAT) have been extraordinarily weak since the middle of March. After briefly touching $120, the stock has declined about 30% to $80.00 today. We are struggling to find justification for the move given the fact that the Company has reported gradually improving results over the past few quarters.
On February 19, 2010 ANAT reported Q4 and fiscal 2009 operating and financial results. After the difficult fiscal 2008, experienced by almost every company in the financial sector, the Company returned to profitability in 2009. ANAT reported Q4 net income of $35.0 million or $1.31 per share compared to a net loss of $65.1 million or $2.46 per share in the comparable period a year ago. Net income for the year totaled $15.6 million or $0.59 per share compared to a net loss of $154.0 million or $5.82 per share in fiscal 2008. The trend continued with the release of the Company’s Q1 results on April 27, 2010. In the first quarter of fiscal 2010, ANAT earned $34.8 million or $1.31 per share. Book value totaled $133.01 per share as at March 31, 2010 after recovering from $118.35 per share at the end of fiscal 2008.
We believe that investors should have been reasonably pleased with these results. Although ANAT has a relatively low return on equity for a financial company, it stems from the Company’s overcapitalized balance sheet and absence of any long-term debt. Due to the low ROE, ANAT’s stock generally peaks at a 0.9 times book value. With the multiple currently 0.65, we believe that ANAT has been overly punished by the market.
We would point to two major developments that may have spooked investors. First, the European credit/banking crisis has impacted financial institutions that hold European corporate and sovereign debt. Second, the explosion and subsequent oil spill from BP’s well in the Gulf of Mexico has had a severe impact on people, businesses and the environment. The costs of cleanup and damages could be enormous.
We have spoken to the Company and have been advised that they don’t have any material exposure to either of these issues. On May 20, 2010 A.M. Best even reaffirmed the financial strength ratio of “A (Excellent)” and the issuer credit rating of “a+” for American National Insurance Company. Further, the annual dividend of $3.08 per share yields approximately 3.9 %, which is a welcome cash flow stream. We will continue to hold our position and will watch the quarterly results to ensure that the financial performance keeps moving in the right direction. Eventually, the stock price should follow.
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