May 20, 2004
American National Insurance Company announced first quarter 2004 net
income of $64,704,000 ($2.44 per share) compared to $40,121,000 ($1.51 per
share) for the same period in 2003, a 61.3% increase. After tax net gain
from operations for the first quarter was $62,618,000 ($2.36 per share)
compared with $42,988,000 ($1.62 per share) for the same period in 2003, a
45.7% increase. These gains from operations exclude any net realized
investment gains and losses.
Premiums for the first quarter of 2004 increased 13.6% to $499.9
million from $440.0 million in 2003 while policy account deposits
increased 9.2% to $513.0 million from $469.8 million a year earlier. A
significant contributor to this quarter’s results was the property and
casualty multiple lines business. After tax gains more than doubled from
the previous quarter to $29.2 million while the combined ratio improved
from 97.2% to 89.7%.
At $92, shares of American National trade at a 23% discount to its
tangible book value of $119.80 per share. The company’s balance sheet
remains impressive given that it is debt free and has excess capital. This
fact has not gone unnoticed by the rating agencies. The company is
currently rated A+ (Superior) by A.M. Best Company, and AA (Very Strong)
by Standard & Poor's. Earnings have shown improvement during the last two
quarters and we suspect that if this trend continues, American National’s
stock price could begin to approach book value. In the meantime, investors
can take comfort in a $2.96 dividend, which represents a yield of over 3%.
August 6, 2004
American National Insurance Company announced second quarter 2004 net
income of $64,154,000 ($2.42 per share) compared to $25,780,000 ($0.97 per
share) for the same period in 2003. After tax net gain from operations for
the second quarter was $49,758,000 ($1.88 per share) compared with
$25,374,000 ($0.96 per share) for the same period in 2003, a 96.1%
increase. After tax net gain from operations excludes after tax net
realized investment gains and losses which totaled $14,396,000 for the
second quarter of 2004 compared with net realized gains of $406,000 for
the same period in 2003.
Premiums for the first six months of 2004 were $1,024,719,000, an
increase of 16.1% over the amount for the first half of 2003. Policy
account deposits received were $873,558,000 versus $1,277,040,000 for the
first six months of 2003. The decrease in policy account deposits was
primarily the result of reduced annuity sales consistent with the 2004
business plan. The property and casualty business of the Multiple Line
operations was the largest contributor to the increase in operating
earnings. After tax gain from the property and casualty business for the
first half of 2004 was $47,082,000, which was more than double the results
of the first six months of 2003. The combined ratio was 92.9%, a
significant improvement over the 99.9% combined ratio achieved in the
first half of 2003.
Shares of American National trade at a 22% discount to its book value
of $119.54 per share and yield approximately 3.2%. We believe that if
American National continues to post improving results, i.e. growth in
premiums, higher earnings and return on equity, etc, the discount between
its book value and share price will continue to narrow.
August 20, 2004
On August 17th American
National Insurance Corp. announced that its subsidiary Property and
Casualty Companies estimates that the after-tax net impact from Hurricane
Charley will be in the $7 million range. This is roughly $0.26 a share,
which is not material in the context of a $12 billion company. As of
August 16, 736 homeowner, 44 auto, and 1 boat claims have been reported.
Prior to Hurricane Charley making landfall, American National made early
preparations for sending Catastrophe Teams to the areas damaged. We are
relieved with this news given that reports estimate the damage from
Hurricane Charley to insured properties at $7.4 billion.
October 29, 2004
On October 25th 2004
American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported third quarter results.
Net income was $47.0 million ($1.77 per share) compared to $44.0 million
($1.66 per share) for the same period in 2003. After tax net gain from
operations, which excludes realized investment gains and losses, were
$42.7 million ($1.61 per share) compared with $42.8 million ($1.62 per
share) in the third quarter of 2003.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for the first
nine months of 2004 was $59.4 million, which was a 60% increase over the
results of the first nine months of 2003. This strong increase in earnings
was achieved in spite of record catastrophe losses in 2004 as a result of
hurricanes Charlie, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne. In addition, the P&C
division improved its combined ratio, a common measure of profitability in
the industry, from 98.6% to 95.8%.
Year to date, ANAT has earned $6.64 per share compared to $4.15 for the
first three quarters of 2003; a 60% increase. These results have not gone
unnoticed by investors. ANAT shares are up over 23% so far in 2004. ANAT
shares trade at a 13% discount to its book value of $120.72 per share
while carrying a decent yield of 2.8%.
March 4, 2005
On February 7th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT)
reported third quarter results. Net income was $79.7 million ($3.01 per
share) compared to $72.3 million ($2.73 per share) for the same period
in 2003. After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized
investment gains and losses, were $65.2 million ($2.46 per share)
compared with $49.6 million ($1.87 per share) in the third quarter of
2003.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was
$99.4 million, which was a 70% increase over the results of 2003. In
addition, the P&C division improved its combined ratio, a common measure
of profitability in the industry, from 97.3% to 92.8%.
For the year, ANAT earned $8.30 per share excluding realized gains.
This represents a respectable 7.3% return on equity, which is an
improvement from prior years. The company remains debt free and pays a
quarterly dividend of $0.74, which yields investors around 2.75% a year.
Finally, ANAT shares currently trade at a 14% discount to its book value
of $124.46 per share.
April 29, 2005
On April 25th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported
first quarter results. Net income was $90.9 million ($3.43 per share)
compared to $64.7 million ($2.44 per share) for the same period in 2004.
After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized investment
gains and losses, was $80.3 million ($3.03 per share) compared with $62.6
million ($2.36 per share) in the third quarter of 2004.
The property and casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to
the increase in operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was
$43.4 million, which was a 49% increase over the results of 2004. In
addition, the P&C division significantly improved its combined ratio, a
common measure of profitability in the industry, from 89.7% to 82.6%.
For the last 4 quarters, ANAT’s combined earnings per share (excluding
realized gains) was $8.98 which represents a 7.2% return on equity. This
is impressive given that ANAT has no interest bearing debt and therefore,
its earnings do not get a lift from the use of financial leverage. In
addition, ANAT continues to pay a quarterly dividend of $0.74, yielding
investors around 2.8% a year. ANAT has paid this dividend for 94
consecutive years and last increased the dividend in 2001. At its present
price, we believe that ANAT remains fundamentally undervalued given that
its shares trade at a 16% discount to its book value of $124.95 per share.
August 12, 2005
On July 25th 2005 American National Insurance Company (ANAT) reported
second quarter results. Net income was $55.5 million ($2.10 per share)
compared to $64.1 million ($2.42 per share) for the same period in 2004.
After tax net gain from operations, which excludes realized investment
gains and losses, was $53.9 million ($2.04 per share) compared with $49.8
million ($1.88 per share) in the second quarter of 2004. The property and
casualty (P&C) business was the largest contributor to the increase in
operating earnings. After tax gain from P&C for 2004 was $71.1 million,
which was a 51% increase over the results of 2004.
ANAT’s return on equity ratio (ROE) remains in the 7% to 8% range.
While this scores below the industry average, it is important to keep in
mind that ANAT employs a fairly risk- adverse approach to running its
business. First of all, the company scarcely uses financial leverage. For
instance, at the end of the second quarter ANAT had a debt to equity ratio
of less than 4%. Second, management maintains a low-risk investment
portfolio consisting mostly of government and investment grade corporate
bonds. This compares with insurers who will often invest the majority of
their assets in higher yielding, riskier investments such as mortgage
backed securities and common stocks to increase their ROE. Finally, ANAT
is quite conservative in the actuarial assumptions it uses to set aside
reserves for the future. In short, the company is overcapitalized and as a
result, has much flexibility and considerable options. For example,
management could use this excess capital to underwrite more policies, buy
back its stock, make accretive acquisitions or increase their quarterly
dividends. Incidentally, share repurchases would be anti-dilutive as ANAT
shares currently trade at a 4% discount to its book value of $127.71.
September 9, 2005
On September 2, 2005 American National Insurance Corp. announced that
its subsidiary, Property and Casualty Companies, estimated that the
after-tax net impact from Hurricane Katrina would be in the $17 million
range. This amount is roughly $0.65 a share, which is not extraordinary in
the context of a $12 billion company. ANAT is able to limit its potential
disaster losses because it takes out reinsurance to protect itself. It is
interesting to note that without this reinsurance, ANAT’s exposure to
Hurricane Katrina, probably would already amounted to over $100 million.
November 4, 2005
On October 24th, 2005, American National Insurance Company (ANAT)
announced third quarter results. Net income for the quarter was $54.0
million ($2.04 per share) compared to $47.0 million ($1.77) for the same
period of 2004. After tax net gain from operations for the third quarter
was $42.3 million ($1.60 per share) compared with $42.7 million ($1.61 per
share) in 2004. This amount excludes after tax net realized investment
gains and losses. Incidentally, after-tax losses for the third quarter
from hurricanes Katrina and Rita totaled approximately $33.8 million
($1.28 per share). In the context of its $17.6 billion of assets, ANAT’s
exposure was less than 0.2% of its asset base.
Recently, investor concern relating to hurricane activity in the US
Southeast has sent shares of ANAT below $120 per share. However, with the
fall storm season coming to an end, and the financial impact from the
hurricanes largely calculated, we believe investors will once again be
attracted to ANAT’s relatively cheap valuation and strong balance sheet.
The shares currently trade at a 7% discount to their book value of $127.61
and pay an annual dividend of $2.96 producing a yield of 2.5%. More
importantly, ANAT remains debt free and has excess capital which could be
used to increase the dividend, repurchase shares or make an accretive
acquisition.
November 24, 2006
This year will mark the 96th consecutive year a dividend will be paid
to American National Insurance Company (ANAT) shareholders. Over the
years, the dividend has been raised slowly but steadily. In fact, it was
recently increased again in October from $0.75 to $0.76 per quarter. At
$113 per share, ANAT now yields around 2.7%, and given its payout history,
we think this dividend is pretty secure.
After a fairly benign hurricane season this year, we don’t expect any
material underwriting losses to surface in the fourth quarter. Third
quarter results also had few surprises. ANAT earned $1.89 per share from
operations, and had realized gains from investments of $0.17. We expect
ANAT’s return on equity for 2006 to be in the range of 5 to 6%. While this
number is low compared to other insurers, it is important to remember that
this return is unlevered given that ANAT does not employ any long term
debt.
ANAT is not widely followed on Wall Street. It also has a relatively
small float given that the Moody family of Texas owns a significant
proportion of the outstanding shares. In consequence trading in the stock
is pretty thin and share price movements can be erratic. For the patient
long term investor however, ANAT shares appear attractively priced. In
addition to its good yield, shares of ANAT are trading at a 14% discount
to its $130.97 book value. More importantly, ANAT remains debt free and
has excess capital which could be used to increase the dividend,
repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition.
March 9, 2007
A fairly benign hurricane season helped to lift American National
Insurance Company (ANAT) to its best fourth quarter on record. On Feb
16th, the Galveston based insurer posted earnings of $110 million or $4.17
per share compared to earnings of $35 million or $1.34 per share in the
fourth quarter of 2005. For the year, ANAT earned $273 million, or $10.27
per share compared to $236 million or $8.87 per share a year earlier, a
16% increase. While impressive, it is important to keep in mind that 2005
was a very active hurricane season resulting in higher than normal
underwriting loses. On the other hand, hurricane activity in 2006 was
negligible producing significantly fewer claims.
Looking ahead, we believe ANAT can grow its earnings around 5% a year
on average. This assumes a sustainable return on equity of 7%, and a 30%
dividend payout ratio which is in line with previous years. As we have
pointed out in the past, the controlling Moody family has deliberately
chosen this slow but steady approach to managing the Company. ANAT uses
virtually no financial leverage and employs a disciplined and conservative
underwriting philosophy. This is evident by observing ANAT’s A+ (superior)
rating by A.M Best, and its AA (very strong) rating by Standard and
Poor’s. Given the recent stock market volatility, we take comfort in
ANAT’s rock solid balance sheet and high credit rating.
As a patient investor with a longer term view, we believe ANAT remains
an attractive investment given its risk/reward characteristics. In
addition to its 2.4% dividend yield, ANAT trades at a 6% discount to its
book value of $134 per share. More importantly, ANAT remains debt free and
has excess capital which could be used to increase the dividend,
repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition. Finally should the
Moody family ever decide to sell the company we believe that ANAT would
fetch a significant premium to its current public market value.
June 1, 2007
On April 23rd American National Insurance Co. (ANAT) reported earnings
of $49.2 million or $1.85 per share compared to earnings of $56.2 million
or $2.11 per share for the same period in 2006. Earnings before investment
gains, a more meaningful comparison, increased 4.3% to $50.7 million or
$1.91 per share compared to $48.7 million or $1.83 last year. ANAT’s life
insurance and annuity division preformed exceptionally well. Policyholder
deposits increased 37% year over year while earned premiums, which tend to
lag deposits, increased 31%.
Although shares of ANAT have increased 27% this year, we believe they
are still relatively inexpensive. In addition to its 2.1% dividend yield,
ANAT trades at only 1.1 times its book value of $135 per share. More
importantly, the Company’s balance sheet remains rock solid. Not only does
ANAT remain debt free with one of the highest credit ratings in the
industry, but it also has excess capital which could be used to increase
its dividend, repurchase shares or make an accretive acquisition.
Finally, it is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition
target. It would actually be cheaper for a larger insurer to just buy ANAT,
with its strong franchise and established distribution network, then to
start the business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e.
the Moody family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a
significant premium to its current market value.
August 31, 2007
With the recent stock and credit market turmoil, particularly in U.S.
financial stocks, (i.e. Bear Stearns and Countrywide Financial), we felt
an update on American National Insurance Company (ANAT) was appropriate.
Given that ANAT has consistently paid a dividend for 96 years, it should
come as no surprise that ANAT’s managers have a fairly conservative
investment philosophy. ANAT’s portfolio is comprised mostly of government
and corporate bonds, public utility debt, common and preferred shares.
It is reassuring to know that ANAT has no sub-prime mortgage exposure, and
its AA credit rating remains one of the highest in the insurance business.
On July 23rd ANAT announced terrific results for the second quarter.
The company reported earnings of $58.9 million ($2.22 per share) compared
to earnings of $51.3 million ($1.93 per share) for the same period in
2006. Earnings before investment gains, a more meaningful comparison,
increased 53.1% to $53.9 million ($2.03 per share) compared to $35.2
million ($1.32 per share) last year. ANAT’s life insurance and annuity
division preformed exceptionally well. Policyholder deposits increased 34%
while earned premiums from life insurance and annuities increased 67%.
Over the last 12 months, earnings per share were $10.35 and return on
equity (ROE) was a respectable 8.1%.
Like most financial companies, ANAT earns profit from its spread, which
is the difference between what it pays in claims and what it earns on its
investments. In recent years ANAT’s spread has narrowed due to a
flattening yield curve and a shrinking credit spread between US treasuries
and corporate bonds. Recently however, these trends have begun to reverse,
and this should help boost ANAT’s earnings in coming years. Interestingly,
ANAT is debt free and has excess capital at its disposal. With its shares
currently trading at a 10% discount to its $137 per share book value, the
company could use the cash towards an accretive share buyback. Finally, it
is worth noting that ANAT remains an attractive acquisition target. It
would actually be cheaper for a larger insurer to just buy ANAT, with its
strong franchise and established distribution network, than to start the
business from scratch. Should the controlling shareholders (i.e. the Moody
family) ever decide to sell, we believe ANAT would command a significant
premium to its current market value.
October 26, 2007
On October 22nd American National Insurance Company (ANAT) announced
third quarter results. Net income was $79.2 million or $2.98 per share
compared to $54.8 million or $2.06 for the same period last year. After
tax operating earnings, which excludes realized investment gains and
losses, increased 13.3% to $57.1 million or $2.15 per share, compared with
$50.0 million or $1.89 per share for the same period in 2006. Policyholder
deposits on interest-sensitive products, both life insurance and
annuities, totaled $944 million at the end of the quarter, an increase of
15.9% from the same period in 2006. In addition, earned premiums from life
insurance and annuities increased 33.6% to a total of $423 million.
Shortly following its quarterly release, ANAT’s board of directors
approved an increase to its quarterly dividend from 76 to 77 cents per
share. Based on current prices, ANAT shares now yield over 2.4%. It should
be noted, that this is the 97th consecutive year that dividends have been
paid to stockholders. It is also the 31st dividend increase in the last 34
years. However, given that earnings have increased over 20% year to date,
the size of the increase – just 1.4% - seems conservative. On the other
hand, ANAT could be conserving its cash. With its virtually debt-free
balance sheet and its shares currently trading about $10 below its $140
book value per share, ANAT could decide to take advantage of the current
stock market volatility and repurchase its fundamentally undervalued
shares in the market.