|
August 31, 2000
Andrés Wines reported strong first quarter results for fiscal 2000,
reinforcing our belief that it is a fundamentally solid company.
Omitting the Quebec operations, which were sold in 1999, sales rose
13.4% to $32 million from the prior year's first quarter and earnings
per fully diluted share were $0.21 versus $0.17 in the comparable
quarter of 1998.
The financial strength of the company has continued to improve with a
significant reduction in debt and an increase in book value to $13.79
per share. Andrés, recognizing the value its company holds implemented
a share buyback program in June. The company may purchase 10% or 289,289
of its Class A non-voting shares and 5% or 50,457 of its Class B voting
shares.
Supporting Andrés sound fundamentals is the company's focus on its
repositioning strategy. The company has identified that as baby boomers
grow older they lead a more leisurely lifestyle with a higher disposable
income. These changing demographics have guided Andrés strategy to
focus on its premium wine products. This has proven to be successful
with the results of the first quarter demonstrating higher sales and
market share for the company's premium wines across Canada.
As a sidepoint, it is very interesting to note that in early 1998
Andrés traded at $25 with comparable earnings per share. Yet, over the
past two years the company having improved its balance sheet, increased
its book value and initiated a significant share repurchase plan, the
stock at its current $12, is trading at half of its early 1998 market
valuation.
With Andrés low valuation of 0.9 times book value, a 5.3% dividend
yield, its improving financials and strong management team, we feel that
Andrés has all the attributes to exhibit long-term growth and
ultimately significant share price appreciation.
November 24, 2000
Andrés Wines continues to contend with the stiff pricing competition
that the import wines have introduced into the Canadian marketplace. As
a result, Andrés second quarter earnings per share of $0.12 were
significantly weaker than the $0.23 reported in the same quarter of
1999. We were pleased to see Andrés' volume growth exceed the average
of the Canadian market. But the low priced import wines sold by the LCBO
and tough export restrictions, along with poor summer weather
contributed to Andrés relatively flat quarterly sales growth.
On a more positive note, Andrés balance sheet remains strong with
debt declining and a book value of $13.75. The potential catalysts that
could turn Andrés stock price around are more favourable import/export
laws or even a takeover.
April 27, 2001
Although Andrés Wines endured a particularly challenging third quarter, there is some light at the end of the tunnel. A major roadblock
has been cleared with the recent removal of importation barriers on
Canadian ice wine into Europe. President and CEO, John Peller estimates
that this has opened up a market worth about $25 million a year. This
news is particularly refreshing as Andrés Wines' first quarter results
were once again negatively impacted by the increased market share of
low-priced, subsidized imported wines into Canada.
Despite lackluster performance last quarter, Andrés managed to
increase its book value to $14.06. We find the newfound potential to
expand into Europe with its ice wine products to be very encouraging.
Positive industry trends such as this and its focus on higher margin
goods will strengthen Andrés business and potentially be the catalyst
its stock price needs to move forward.
August 22, 2001
Andrés Wines is entering its fortieth year in the business and,
despite continued competitive pressures, has managed to maintain
profitability. The company reported first quarter 2002 earnings per
share (before the proceeds from the sale of its Quebec joint venture) of
$0.29 versus $0.22 in the same quarter of 2001. While sales for the
quarter were down slightly, the continued emphasis on production
efficiencies and the increased sales of its higher margin premium and
ultra-premium VQA wines contributed to its better than comparable
earnings.
Moreover, Andrés financial position remains strong. Since fiscal
2000, working capital has increased to $20.5 million from $14.8 million,
long term debt to equity was reduced to 24.8% from 26.4% and its book
value has increased to $14.30. While largely ignored by analysts due to
its small float, we feel, nonetheless, that Andrés will eventually reap
the benefits of its improving fundamentals, cost cutting initiatives and
a more favourable Canadian wine market in the future.
December 14, 2001
Looking ahead, Andrés Wines holds a bright and promising future. Its
second quarter results were indicative of this. Sales rose 4.2%, which
transpired into earnings per share of $0.18, a 46.8% improvement over
its comparable quarter. Andrés improved profitability was primarily
generated from the 19.7% increase in its high margin premium and
ultra-premium VQA wines.
Admittedly, Andrés has not achieved these results without
difficulty. However, the wine industry continues to grow domestically
and globally in accordance with favourable demographics, lifestyle
changes and health choices. In turn, it has become an increasingly
competitive global market. Consequently, Andrés was forced to become
aggressive and innovative with its sales and marketing strategies.
Andrés has managed to augment its market presence through
penetrating multiple trade channels, building two award-winning estate
wineries and increasing export sales. Additionally, the company has
built a strong presence in two growing markets within the industry, the
refreshment category and the home wine kits.
Andrés has worked hard to establish a secure position in the wine
industry. As a result Andrés balance sheet is strong with a debt to
equity ratio of 28%. Also, its book value has increased to $14.32 per
share and with its $0.644 dividend, Andrés shares provide a 4.2% yield.
This Value Favourite continues to show promise, as such we expect its
share price to improve in the future.
May 31, 2002
Andrés Wines reported improved third quarter results to December
31, 2001. This was primarily due to increased sales of its premium
and ultra-premium Peller Estates and Hillebrand Estates brands.
Gross margin as a percentage of sales increased to 39.6% from 38.1%
with net earnings for the quarter improving to $2.8 million or 60˘ a
share from $2.2 million or 46˘ per share. Andrés continued to
strengthen its balance sheet in the third quarter with working capital
increasing to $27.7 million versus $20.2 million a year earlier.
Shareholders equity also advanced to almost $70.0 million or $14.77 per
share versus $66.1 million or $14.06 per share the previous year.
With the Company's strategy of focusing on higher-margin premium and
ultra-premium wines, Andrés is able to increase its
profitability. This, we believe, will enhance its investment
visibility and ultimately its share price.
October 25, 2002
On October 22, 2002 Andres Wines Limited announced results for the
second quarter of fiscal 2002. Sales grew 8.3% to $36.6 million in the
second quarter and 6.7% to $70.7 million in the first half of 2002.
Profit growth was even more impressive, as net earnings per Class A
share increased 21% to $0.23 in the most recent quarter from $0.19 in
the comparable period last year. Year to date, earnings grew 15.5%,
excluding last year's unusual gain from the sale of the Company's
interest in a Quebec winery, to $0.56 per share. John Peller, President
and CEO, indicated on the conference call that all segments of the
business made a positive contribution to the good financial performance.
We were pleased to see that revenue growth did not come at the
expense of profitability. In fact, management's strategic focus on
higher-margin Peller Estates, Hillebrand Estates and Trius brands,
combined with falling grape prices, led to an increase in the gross
margin from 37.4% to 39.4%. Further, the Company refinanced $25 million
of long-debt with a lower cost term facility, which will reduce interest
costs going forward.
Andres' financial position remains solid, with a ratio of long-term
debt to equity of 0.34 to 1 and a book value of $15.09 per share. The
Company continues to pay a dividend of $0.644, which yields
approximately 3.75% at current price levels. Andres Wines' improving
profitability and solid balance sheet did not go unnoticed by the market
and the stock appreciated almost 6% following the earnings announcement.
May 30, 2003
Andres Wines' focus on premium wines has produced "premium"
results for the company once again. Sales in the third quarter of fiscal
2003 rose 9% to $44.2 million compared to $40.6 million last year. This
sales growth translated into a 34% increase in net earnings of $0.83 per
share compared to $0.62 per share.
On the company's third quarter results, John Peller, President and
CEO commented, "Over the past ten years, our sales have grown at a
compound rate of over 15%, with more than half of this increase coming
from our innovative sales and marketing programs." It is evident
that the company's creative selling techniques have been a crucial part
of its success while operating in a very challenging marketplace, which
has been plagued with foreign competition as well as other external
factors.
With this in mind, it seems that the Ontario wine industry is going
to have to clear yet another hurdle, the extreme winter weather that the
province suffered this season past. It has been reported that Ontario
vineyards will produce much less wine this year due to the coldest
winter in nine years. In fact, it can take up to two years for a
vineyard to recover from a damaged grape crop.
Nevertheless, Andres remains a solid value play, trading at 1.2 times
its $15.33 book value and yields 3.6%. The company is expected to report
its year-end results in June.
June 11, 2004
Yesterday, Andres Wines Limited reported results for fiscal 2004,
ended March 31, 2004. Revenue grew to $155.9 million from $147.9
million, an increase of 5.4%. Growth was attributed to the premium and
ultra-premium segments of the market, as sales of Peller Estates wines
rose 12% for the year. Although exports of ice wines and wine kits are a
small percentage of sales, volumes were up 20% for the year. Management
guided to “similar strong growth in fiscal 2005” through the expansion
of various sales channels and the launch of new wines.
The success of the Company’s higher margin brands, such as Peller
Estates, Trius and Hillebrand Estates, resulted in the twelfth consecutive
quarter of gross margin improvement. For the full year gross profits were
41.8% of sales compared to 40.4% in fiscal 2003. Selling and
administrative expenses as a percentage of sales increased to 29.3% from
27.8% as the Company stepped up its marketing and promotional activities.
This translated into market share growth, for the first time in ten or
twelve years, to 31.5% from 31%. At the bottom line earnings came in at
$1.65 per share compared to $1.50 per share for fiscal 2003.
Andres Wines currently trades at only 1.3 times its book value of
$16.52 and 13 times fiscal 2004 earnings. The Company pays a quarterly
dividend of $0.161 or $0.644 per Class A share on an annualized basis,
which yields almost 3%. With the Company’s focus on the premium and
ultra-premium segments of a recovering global wine industry, we expect
that the stock will continue to reward patient investors.
January 7, 2005
Our last update on Andres Wines covered the Company’s year-end
results, ended March 31, 2004. Since then Andres has reported solid
growth in each of the first two quarters of fiscal 2005. In the first
quarter, sales rose 12.6% to $40.3 million from $35.8 million the
previous year. Earnings per Class A share increased to $0.39 from $0.36
in the year ago period. In the second quarter, sales rose 8.9% to $42.8
million from $39.2 million in the comparable period a year ago. Earnings
per Class A share increased to $0.37 from $0.30 in the second quarter of
fiscal 2004. The balance sheet remains clean, with over $30 million in
working capital; book value has grown to $16.91 per share. The Company
continues to pay an annual dividend $0.644, which yields 2.3% at current
price levels.
Andres Wines’ shares have strengthened over 25% since the release of
the second quarter results on November 2, 2004. Investors seem to finally
recognize that the shift in consumer tastes toward premium and
ultra-premium wines mean better margins for the Company. The gross margin
has improved consistently over the past three years and for the first six
months of fiscal 2005 reached 42.9% compared to 40.4% in the same period
last year. Better margins on higher quality wines lead in turn to greater
cash flow. Year to date, cash from operations has increased 75% to $8.4
million. Either a dividend increase or another acquisition, similar to the
Winexpert purchase, would continue the positive momentum into 2005.
June 9, 2006
We have not updated our Andres Wines commentary for some time and we
thought it appropriate that we do so.
Over the past year Andres made a few acquisitions to bolster its
positioning as a premium and ultra-premium wine maker. Thirty Bench
Winery, including 70 acres of vineyards, gives the Company a solid
presence in the Niagara-on-the-Lake wine region. Red Rooster Winery,
situated in the Okanagan Valley, bolsters the Company’s operations in
British Columbia. Finally, Cascadia, a producer of premium wines, craft
beers and spirits, allows the Company to consolidate its operations into
one facility in Kelowna. Andres subsequently sold the assets and brands of
Cascadia’s spirits division for $5.8 million.
Andres Wines reported decent results for the first nine months of its
current fiscal year, ended December 31. The Company reported revenue of
$163.3 million compared to $130.7 million in the comparable period a year
ago. Gross profit totaled $67.9 million compared to $56.3 million, but the
gross margin in the current period declined slightly to 41.6% from 43.0%
in the first nine months of the previous fiscal year. Basic and diluted
earnings per Class A share were $1.51 versus $1.69. The Company suggested
that the decline in earnings was related to increases in the cost of
grapes and other raw materials. Selling and administrative expenses also
increased due to the acquisitions mentioned above.
Even after the acquisitions Andres has a solid balance sheet with
working capital of $40 million and a debt to equity ratio of 1 to 1. Over
the first nine months of the current fiscal year, the Company generated
$11.9 million of cash flow from operations. This is sufficient to fulfill
debt obligations and make dividend payments. The stock pays $0.644 per
Class A share, which yields 2.45% at current price levels.
On a final note, it has come to light that a former non-executive
employee allegedly misappropriated funds, estimated to be in the range of
$3 to $7 million, over several years. The Company stated that the alleged
misappropriation will not have any material impact on the Company’s
financial position or results. In addition, it is expected that insurance
policies will cover a portion of any loss. Although unfortunate, we don’t
believe there will be any lingering impact on the stock and controls are
in place to prevent it from happening again.
June 15, 2007
Investors may have noticed a few key developments since our last update
on Andres Wines. At the annual meeting, held on September 20, 2006,
shareholders approved a three for one stock split of both the Company’s
Class A and Class B shares in an effort to improve the liquidity of the
stock. Shareholders also approved a resolution to change the name of the
Company to Andrew Peller Limited to “honour the entrepreneurial spirit of
the Company’s founder, Andrew Peller”. The name also creates a direct link
to the Company’s well-recognized Peller Estates family of wines, including
the Andrew Peller Signature Series, the Private Reserve Series, the
Limited Edition Founder’s Series and several others.
In addition to these corporate developments, financial results for the
fourth quarter and fiscal 2007 (ended March 31, 2007), were released late
last week. Sales increased 7.8% to $228.2 million from $211.8 million in
2006. Earnings before interest, taxes, and amortization (EBITA) increased
20.8% to $27.7 million in fiscal 2007 compared to $22.9 million in fiscal
2006. If we adjust for an accounting charge in fiscal 2006, EBITA
increased a still-meaningful 8.8% for the year. Net earnings for the year
were $9.5 million or $0.65 per Class A share, an increase of 7.3% from
fiscal 2006, once the above mentioned charge is excluded. On the back of
the solid financial results, the Company increased its common share
dividend for the second year in a row. The annual dividend on the Class A
shares was increased 19% to $0.30, which yields approximately 2.7% at
current price levels.
Although the stock is trading at a premium to the Company’s book value
of $6.41, we think the shares are still an attractive investment.
Replicating this business would require purchasing offices, distribution
warehouses, retail locations, wineries and, most importantly, vineyards.
You would then have to spend years building brand awareness with
customers. In fact, it would probably be easier to purchase the entire
Company than build the business from scratch. Investors may recall
Constellation Brands’ $1.5 billion takeover of Vincor International. The
all-cash transaction valued Vincor at 13 times EBITDA. We recognize that
applying this multiple to Andrew Peller is perhaps aggressive since it is
a much smaller company and, as far as we know, is not up for sale.
However, this metric would imply a value of $17.00 per share compared to
today’s trading price of $11.10.
|